NFL WEEK 10

NFL player prop projections & picks
for Week 10.

Compare PDR's model projections with sportsbook lines, implied win probabilities, no-vig edges, and model-implied EV for this week's NFL player props.

14 games110 qualified plays11 graded
Season Record
584-491-0
54.3% hit rate · 27 voids
1102 graded · 99 pending
All published qualified plays.
Top 5 Season Record
21-23-0
47.7% hit rate · 1 void
45 graded · 5 pending
Featured Top 5 frozen pregame plays from each week.

Top plays

Frozen pregame model ranking.

#1 TOP PLAY
Rushing yards
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints · Sun, Nov 15, 12:00 PM CST
UNDER 80.5
Win 90.8%Edge +40.8%EV +70.5%
#2 TOP PLAY
Rushing yards
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers · Sun, Nov 15, 12:00 PM CST
OVER 27.5
Win 89.1%Edge +39.1%EV +67.2%
#3 TOP PLAY
Passing yards
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers · Sun, Nov 15, 12:00 PM CST
UNDER 257.5
Win 88.4%Edge +38.4%EV +65.9%
#4 TOP PLAY
Rushing yards
New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions · Sun, Nov 15, 8:30 AM CST
UNDER 97.5
Win 88.2%Edge +38.2%EV +65.6%
#5 TOP PLAY
Receptions
San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys · Sun, Nov 15, 3:25 PM CST
UNDER 7.5
Win 87.4%Edge +35.5%EV +57.4%

Week 10 games

Status reflects grading.