PLAYER PROFILE

Blake Corum NFL player props & projections

NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Blake Corum. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props

2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.

Published Record
3-3-0
0 voids · 0 pending
Hit Rate
50.0%
6 W/L decisions
Published Plays
6
Qualified plays only
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Qualified + did-not-qualify rows

Recent performance vs today's line

Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.

CURRENT WEEK

Rushing yards

fanduel · OVER 46.5
Projection 52.1Cleared line 50%
54W179W215W314W419W542W693W773W8Line 46.5PDR 52.1
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards

Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.

WEEK 8

Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams

Sun, Nov 1, 2:05 PM CST
View game →
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
fanduel · Line 46.5
Did not qualify
Model side: OVER -113
Projection52.1
Model win43.3%
No-vig edge-6.7%
Model-implied EV-18.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 7

Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders

Sun, Oct 25, 3:25 PM CDT
View game →
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
fanduel · Line 37.5
Qualified
OVER 37.5 -114
Projection56.1
Model win60.6%
No-vig edge+10.6%
Model-implied EV+13.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET 18.6 above line
Market 37.5 PDR 56.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 56.1 is 18.6 above the 37.5 line.
Model win probability 60.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +10.6% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 60.6% model win, +10.6% no-vig edge, and +13.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams

Sun, Oct 18, 3:05 PM CDT
View game →
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
fanduel · Line 43.5
Qualified
OVER 43.5 -114
Projection65.0
Model win64.4%
No-vig edge+14.4%
Model-implied EV+21.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET 21.5 above line
Market 43.5 PDR 65.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 65.0 is 21.5 above the 43.5 line.
Model win probability 64.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +14.4% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 64.4% model win, +14.4% no-vig edge, and +21.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5

Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams

Mon, Oct 12, 7:15 PM CDT
View game →
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
fanduel · Line 31.5
Qualified
OVER 31.5 -114
Projection54.0
Model win67.0%
No-vig edge+17.0%
Model-implied EV+25.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET 22.5 above line
Market 31.5 PDR 54.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 54.0 is 22.5 above the 31.5 line.
Model win probability 67.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +17.0% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 67.0% model win, +17.0% no-vig edge, and +25.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles

Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
View game →
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
fanduel · Line 40.5
Qualified
OVER 40.5 -114
Projection58.9
Model win60.2%
No-vig edge+10.2%
Model-implied EV+13.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET 18.4 above line
Market 40.5 PDR 58.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 58.9 is 18.4 above the 40.5 line.
Model win probability 60.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +10.2% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 60.2% model win, +10.2% no-vig edge, and +13.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2

New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams

Mon, Sep 21, 7:15 PM CDT
View game →
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
fanduel · Line 43.5
Qualified
OVER 43.5 -114
Projection61.4
Model win59.4%
No-vig edge+9.4%
Model-implied EV+11.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET 17.9 above line
Market 43.5 PDR 61.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 61.4 is 17.9 above the 43.5 line.
Model win probability 59.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +9.4% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 59.4% model win, +9.4% no-vig edge, and +11.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.

Published qualified history

Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.

WeekMatchupMarketPickWinEdgeModel-implied EVResult
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders Rushing yards OVER 37.5 60.6% +10.6% +13.7% WIN · 93 rushing yards Game
Week 6 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams Rushing yards OVER 43.5 64.4% +14.4% +21.0% LOSS · 42 rushing yards Game
Week 5 Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams Rushing yards OVER 31.5 67.0% +17.0% +25.7% LOSS · 19 rushing yards Game
Week 4 Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing yards OVER 40.5 60.2% +10.2% +13.0% LOSS · 14 rushing yards Game
Week 2 New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams Rushing yards OVER 43.5 59.4% +9.4% +11.5% WIN · 79 rushing yards Game
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams Rushing yards OVER 37.5 63.7% +13.7% +19.6% WIN · 54 rushing yards Game