Published Record
2-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Dallas Goedert NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Dallas Goedert. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
4
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 4.5
Projection 3.8Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · UNDER 45.5
Projection 37.1Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
Sun, Nov 1, 6:20 PM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 +112
Projection3.8
Model win75.1%
No-vig edge+30.9%
Model-implied EV+59.1%
No-vig market44.1%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.7 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 3.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 3.8 is 0.7 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 75.1% vs 44.1% no-vig market probability creates a +30.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.1% model win, +30.9% no-vig edge, and +59.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 45.5
UNDER 45.5 -113
Projection37.1
Model win74.2%
No-vig edge+24.2%
Model-implied EV+39.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
8.4 below line
Market 45.5
PDR 37.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 37.1 is 8.4 below the 45.5 line.
Model win probability 74.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +24.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 74.2% model win, +24.2% no-vig edge, and +39.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
Mon, Oct 26, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 +108
Projection3.8
Model win74.7%
No-vig edge+29.9%
Model-implied EV+55.5%
No-vig market44.9%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.7 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 3.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 3.8 is 0.7 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 74.7% vs 44.9% no-vig market probability creates a +29.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 74.7% model win, +29.9% no-vig edge, and +55.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 40.5
UNDER 40.5 -114
Projection38.5
Model win68.8%
No-vig edge+18.8%
Model-implied EV+29.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.0 below line
Market 40.5
PDR 38.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 38.5 is 2.0 below the 40.5 line.
Model win probability 68.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +18.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.8% model win, +18.8% no-vig edge, and +29.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 75.1% | +30.9% | +59.1% | WIN · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 8 | Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders | Receiving yards | UNDER 45.5 | 74.2% | +24.2% | +39.9% | WIN · 30 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 7 | Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 74.7% | +29.9% | +55.5% | LOSS · 5 receptions | Game |
| Week 7 | Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving yards | UNDER 40.5 | 68.8% | +18.8% | +29.1% | LOSS · 48 receiving yards | Game |