Published Record
1-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Adonai Mitchell NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Adonai Mitchell. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 2.5
Projection 3.4Cleared line 100%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 24.5
Projection 42.9Cleared line 100%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER +154
Projection3.4
Model win51.7%
No-vig edge+14.9%
Model-implied EV+31.2%
No-vig market36.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 24.5
OVER 24.5 -113
Projection42.9
Model win60.5%
No-vig edge+10.5%
Model-implied EV+14.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
18.4 above line
Market 24.5
PDR 42.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 42.9 is 18.4 above the 24.5 line.
Model win probability 60.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +10.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 60.5% model win, +10.5% no-vig edge, and +14.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 3.5
UNDER 3.5 +112
Projection2.8
Model win75.3%
No-vig edge+31.1%
Model-implied EV+59.5%
No-vig market44.1%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.7 below line
Market 3.5
PDR 2.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 2.8 is 0.7 below the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 75.3% vs 44.1% no-vig market probability creates a +31.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.3% model win, +31.1% no-vig edge, and +59.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 47.5
UNDER 47.5 -114
Projection31.1
Model win80.5%
No-vig edge+30.5%
Model-implied EV+51.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
16.4 below line
Market 47.5
PDR 31.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 31.1 is 16.4 below the 47.5 line.
Model win probability 80.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +30.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 80.5% model win, +30.5% no-vig edge, and +51.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -130
Projection3.4
Model win51.1%
No-vig edge-1.7%
Model-implied EV-9.6%
No-vig market52.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 33.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection42.7
Model win46.2%
No-vig edge-3.8%
Model-implied EV-13.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets | Receiving yards | OVER 24.5 | 60.5% | +10.5% | +14.1% | WIN · 142 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 3 | New York Jets @ Detroit Lions | Receptions | UNDER 3.5 | 75.3% | +31.1% | +59.5% | VOID | Game |
| Week 3 | New York Jets @ Detroit Lions | Receiving yards | UNDER 47.5 | 80.5% | +30.5% | +51.0% | VOID | Game |