Published Record
1-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Ty Johnson NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Ty Johnson. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
1
Modeled Lines Stored
1
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 1.5
Projection 27.6Cleared line 100%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -113
Projection27.6
Model win71.0%
No-vig edge+21.0%
Model-implied EV+33.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
26.1 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 27.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 27.6 is 26.1 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 71.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +21.0% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 71.0% model win, +21.0% no-vig edge, and +33.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills | Rushing yards | OVER 1.5 | 71.0% | +21.0% | +33.8% | WIN · 4 rushing yards | Game |