Published Record
0-4-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Amon-Ra St. Brown NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Amon-Ra St. Brown. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
0.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
12
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 6.5
Projection 6.7Cleared line 71%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 75.5
Projection 75.6Cleared line 29%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 6.5
Model side: OVER -132
Projection6.7
Model win39.8%
No-vig edge-13.4%
Model-implied EV-30.0%
No-vig market53.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 75.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection75.6
Model win33.3%
No-vig edge-16.7%
Model-implied EV-37.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 7
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
Sun, Oct 25, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 7.5
UNDER 7.5 -132
Projection7.4
Model win64.5%
No-vig edge+11.3%
Model-implied EV+13.3%
No-vig market53.2%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.1 below line
Market 7.5
PDR 7.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 7.4 is 0.1 below the 7.5 line.
Model win probability 64.5% vs 53.2% no-vig market probability creates a +11.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 64.5% model win, +11.3% no-vig edge, and +13.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 78.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection92.0
Model win52.7%
No-vig edge+2.7%
Model-implied EV-1.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Oct 11, 3:25 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 6.5
Model side: OVER -160
Projection7.5
Model win53.5%
No-vig edge-4.0%
Model-implied EV-13.0%
No-vig market57.5%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 78.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection82.6
Model win38.9%
No-vig edge-11.1%
Model-implied EV-27.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers
Sun, Oct 4, 7:20 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 6.5
Model side: OVER -148
Projection7.1
Model win46.7%
No-vig edge-9.1%
Model-implied EV-21.7%
No-vig market55.9%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 75.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection80.5
Model win39.9%
No-vig edge-10.1%
Model-implied EV-25.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 7.5
Model side: OVER +130
Projection7.6
Model win37.2%
No-vig edge-3.5%
Model-implied EV-14.5%
No-vig market40.6%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 75.5
OVER 75.5 -114
Projection95.7
Model win63.1%
No-vig edge+13.1%
Model-implied EV+18.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
20.2 above line
Market 75.5
PDR 95.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 95.7 is 20.2 above the 75.5 line.
Model win probability 63.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +13.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 63.1% model win, +13.1% no-vig edge, and +18.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills
Thu, Sep 17, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 7.5
UNDER 7.5 -125
Projection7.0
Model win72.2%
No-vig edge+20.3%
Model-implied EV+29.9%
No-vig market51.9%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.5 below line
Market 7.5
PDR 7.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 7.0 is 0.5 below the 7.5 line.
Model win probability 72.2% vs 51.9% no-vig market probability creates a +20.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.2% model win, +20.3% no-vig edge, and +29.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 79.5
UNDER 79.5 -114
Projection79.5
Model win66.8%
No-vig edge+16.8%
Model-implied EV+25.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.0 below line
Market 79.5
PDR 79.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 79.5 is 0.0 below the 79.5 line.
Model win probability 66.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +16.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.8% model win, +16.8% no-vig edge, and +25.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 | Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions | Receptions | UNDER 7.5 | 64.5% | +11.3% | +13.3% | LOSS · 9 receptions | Game |
| Week 3 | New York Jets @ Detroit Lions | Receiving yards | OVER 75.5 | 63.1% | +13.1% | +18.5% | LOSS · 19 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 2 | Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills | Receptions | UNDER 7.5 | 72.2% | +20.3% | +29.9% | LOSS · 9 receptions | Game |
| Week 2 | Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills | Receiving yards | UNDER 79.5 | 66.8% | +16.8% | +25.4% | LOSS · 142 receiving yards | Game |