Published Record
0-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Jayden Reed NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Jayden Reed. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
0.0%
Published Plays
1
Modeled Lines Stored
2
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 2
Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER +102
Projection4.7
Model win57.0%
No-vig edge+10.8%
Model-implied EV+15.1%
No-vig market46.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 36.5
OVER 36.5 -114
Projection58.4
Model win65.9%
No-vig edge+15.9%
Model-implied EV+23.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
21.9 above line
Market 36.5
PDR 58.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 58.4 is 21.9 above the 36.5 line.
Model win probability 65.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +15.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 65.9% model win, +15.9% no-vig edge, and +23.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets | Receiving yards | OVER 36.5 | 65.9% | +15.9% | +23.7% | LOSS · 4 receiving yards | Game |