Published Record
0-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Michael Carter NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Michael Carter. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
-
Published Plays
1
Modeled Lines Stored
3
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 12.5
Projection 35.7Cleared line -
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 1.5
Projection 2.3Cleared line -
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 7.5
Projection 17.5Cleared line -
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 12.5
OVER 12.5 -113
Projection35.7
Model win67.7%
No-vig edge+17.7%
Model-implied EV+27.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
23.2 above line
Market 12.5
PDR 35.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 35.7 is 23.2 above the 12.5 line.
Model win probability 67.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +17.7% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 67.7% model win, +17.7% no-vig edge, and +27.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -118
Projection2.3
Model win50.3%
No-vig edge-0.3%
Model-implied EV-7.1%
No-vig market50.6%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 7.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection17.5
Model win47.6%
No-vig edge-2.4%
Model-implied EV-10.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals | Rushing yards | OVER 12.5 | 67.7% | +17.7% | +27.6% | VOID | Game |