Published Record
1-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Greg Dulcich NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Greg Dulcich. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
33.3%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
10
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 3.5
Projection 2.9Cleared line 33%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 29.5
Projection 36.7Cleared line 67%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
Sun, Nov 1, 2:25 PM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 3.5
UNDER 3.5 -154
Projection2.9
Model win72.7%
No-vig edge+16.0%
Model-implied EV+19.8%
No-vig market56.7%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.6 below line
Market 3.5
PDR 2.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 2.9 is 0.6 below the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 72.7% vs 56.7% no-vig market probability creates a +16.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.7% model win, +16.0% no-vig edge, and +19.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 29.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection36.7
Model win43.1%
No-vig edge-6.9%
Model-implied EV-18.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 7
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
Sun, Oct 25, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER +124
Projection3.8
Model win57.3%
No-vig edge+15.6%
Model-implied EV+28.3%
No-vig market41.7%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 21.5
OVER 21.5 -114
Projection49.8
Model win75.9%
No-vig edge+25.9%
Model-implied EV+42.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
28.3 above line
Market 21.5
PDR 49.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 49.8 is 28.3 above the 21.5 line.
Model win probability 75.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +25.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.9% model win, +25.9% no-vig edge, and +42.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -172
Projection3.7
Model win56.5%
No-vig edge-2.5%
Model-implied EV-10.6%
No-vig market59.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 27.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection43.2
Model win56.9%
No-vig edge+6.9%
Model-implied EV+6.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings
Sun, Oct 4, 3:05 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 2.5
UNDER 2.5 +108
Projection2.4
Model win65.5%
No-vig edge+20.6%
Model-implied EV+36.2%
No-vig market44.9%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.1 below line
Market 2.5
PDR 2.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 2.4 is 0.1 below the 2.5 line.
Model win probability 65.5% vs 44.9% no-vig market probability creates a +20.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 65.5% model win, +20.6% no-vig edge, and +36.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 27.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection30.7
Model win37.4%
No-vig edge-12.6%
Model-implied EV-29.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER +124
Projection3.4
Model win51.8%
No-vig edge+10.1%
Model-implied EV+16.0%
No-vig market41.7%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 23.5
OVER 23.5 -114
Projection44.7
Model win64.4%
No-vig edge+14.4%
Model-implied EV+20.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
21.2 above line
Market 23.5
PDR 44.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 44.7 is 21.2 above the 23.5 line.
Model win probability 64.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +14.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 64.4% model win, +14.4% no-vig edge, and +20.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins | Receptions | UNDER 3.5 | 72.7% | +16.0% | +19.8% | LOSS · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 7 | Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets | Receiving yards | OVER 21.5 | 75.9% | +25.9% | +42.5% | WIN · 86 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings | Receptions | UNDER 2.5 | 65.5% | +20.6% | +36.2% | VOID | Game |
| Week 2 | Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers | Receiving yards | OVER 23.5 | 64.4% | +14.4% | +20.9% | LOSS · 17 receiving yards | Game |