Published Record
1-7-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Elic Ayomanor NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Elic Ayomanor. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
12.5%
Published Plays
8
Modeled Lines Stored
10
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 2.5
Projection 3.2Cleared line 14%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 32.5
Projection 46.1Cleared line 29%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -136
Projection3.2
Model win48.2%
No-vig edge-5.6%
Model-implied EV-16.4%
No-vig market53.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 32.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection46.1
Model win53.2%
No-vig edge+3.2%
Model-implied EV+0.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 6
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 +106
Projection3.7
Model win77.0%
No-vig edge+31.6%
Model-implied EV+58.7%
No-vig market45.4%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.2 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.7 is 2.2 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 77.0% vs 45.4% no-vig market probability creates a +31.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 77.0% model win, +31.6% no-vig edge, and +58.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 15.5
OVER 15.5 -114
Projection54.0
Model win87.8%
No-vig edge+37.8%
Model-implied EV+64.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
38.5 above line
Market 15.5
PDR 54.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 54.0 is 38.5 above the 15.5 line.
Model win probability 87.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +37.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 87.8% model win, +37.8% no-vig edge, and +64.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -125
Projection3.2
Model win66.2%
No-vig edge+14.2%
Model-implied EV+19.1%
No-vig market51.9%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.7 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.2 is 1.7 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 66.2% vs 51.9% no-vig market probability creates a +14.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.2% model win, +14.2% no-vig edge, and +19.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 17.5
OVER 17.5 -114
Projection53.7
Model win85.6%
No-vig edge+35.6%
Model-implied EV+60.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
36.2 above line
Market 17.5
PDR 53.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 53.7 is 36.2 above the 17.5 line.
Model win probability 85.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +35.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 85.6% model win, +35.6% no-vig edge, and +60.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -154
Projection3.9
Model win79.1%
No-vig edge+22.4%
Model-implied EV+30.4%
No-vig market56.7%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.4 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.9 is 2.4 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 79.1% vs 56.7% no-vig market probability creates a +22.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 79.1% model win, +22.4% no-vig edge, and +30.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 20.5
OVER 20.5 -114
Projection58.3
Model win86.8%
No-vig edge+36.8%
Model-implied EV+63.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
37.8 above line
Market 20.5
PDR 58.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 58.3 is 37.8 above the 20.5 line.
Model win probability 86.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +36.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 86.8% model win, +36.8% no-vig edge, and +63.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 +112
Projection3.5
Model win72.3%
No-vig edge+28.2%
Model-implied EV+53.3%
No-vig market44.1%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.0 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.5 is 2.0 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 72.3% vs 44.1% no-vig market probability creates a +28.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.3% model win, +28.2% no-vig edge, and +53.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 14.5
OVER 14.5 -114
Projection46.2
Model win80.1%
No-vig edge+30.1%
Model-implied EV+50.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
31.7 above line
Market 14.5
PDR 46.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 46.2 is 31.7 above the 14.5 line.
Model win probability 80.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +30.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 80.1% model win, +30.1% no-vig edge, and +50.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 77.0% | +31.6% | +58.7% | LOSS · 1 reception | Game |
| Week 6 | Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts | Receiving yards | OVER 15.5 | 87.8% | +37.8% | +64.8% | LOSS · 3 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 66.2% | +14.2% | +19.1% | LOSS · 1 reception | Game |
| Week 5 | Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans | Receiving yards | OVER 17.5 | 85.6% | +35.6% | +60.6% | LOSS · 17 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 79.1% | +22.4% | +30.4% | LOSS · 1 reception | Game |
| Week 4 | Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens | Receiving yards | OVER 20.5 | 86.8% | +36.8% | +63.0% | WIN · 22 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 72.3% | +28.2% | +53.3% | LOSS · 1 reception | Game |
| Week 3 | Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants | Receiving yards | OVER 14.5 | 80.1% | +30.1% | +50.3% | LOSS · 11 receiving yards | Game |