Published Record
4-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Xavier Hutchinson NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Xavier Hutchinson. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 7
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
Sun, Oct 25, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 +172
Projection3.0
Model win61.7%
No-vig edge+27.3%
Model-implied EV+67.7%
No-vig market34.4%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.5 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.0 is 1.5 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 61.7% vs 34.4% no-vig market probability creates a +27.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 61.7% model win, +27.3% no-vig edge, and +67.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 10.5
OVER 10.5 -114
Projection38.3
Model win75.3%
No-vig edge+25.3%
Model-implied EV+41.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
27.8 above line
Market 10.5
PDR 38.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 38.3 is 27.8 above the 10.5 line.
Model win probability 75.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +25.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.3% model win, +25.3% no-vig edge, and +41.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -158
Projection3.0
Model win61.6%
No-vig edge+4.4%
Model-implied EV+0.6%
No-vig market57.2%
Samples2154
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 17.5
OVER 17.5 -114
Projection42.6
Model win71.3%
No-vig edge+21.3%
Model-implied EV+33.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
25.1 above line
Market 17.5
PDR 42.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 42.6 is 25.1 above the 17.5 line.
Model win probability 71.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +21.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 71.3% model win, +21.3% no-vig edge, and +33.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 3.5
UNDER 3.5 -136
Projection3.2
Model win68.1%
No-vig edge+14.3%
Model-implied EV+18.2%
No-vig market53.8%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.3 below line
Market 3.5
PDR 3.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 3.2 is 0.3 below the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 68.1% vs 53.8% no-vig market probability creates a +14.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.1% model win, +14.3% no-vig edge, and +18.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 40.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection46.0
Model win40.6%
No-vig edge-9.4%
Model-implied EV-23.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 | New York Giants @ Houston Texans | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 61.7% | +27.3% | +67.7% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |
| Week 7 | New York Giants @ Houston Texans | Receiving yards | OVER 10.5 | 75.3% | +25.3% | +41.4% | WIN · 17 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans | Receiving yards | OVER 17.5 | 71.3% | +21.3% | +33.9% | WIN · 65 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | UNDER 3.5 | 68.1% | +14.3% | +18.2% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |