Published Record
3-3-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Mark Andrews NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Mark Andrews. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
6
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 3.5
Projection 2.5Cleared line 33%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · UNDER 27.5
Projection 20.5Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 3.5
UNDER 3.5 -154
Projection2.5
Model win77.6%
No-vig edge+20.9%
Model-implied EV+28.0%
No-vig market56.7%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.0 below line
Market 3.5
PDR 2.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 2.5 is 1.0 below the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 77.6% vs 56.7% no-vig market probability creates a +20.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 77.6% model win, +20.9% no-vig edge, and +28.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 27.5
UNDER 27.5 -113
Projection20.5
Model win73.2%
No-vig edge+23.2%
Model-implied EV+38.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
7.0 below line
Market 27.5
PDR 20.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 20.5 is 7.0 below the 27.5 line.
Model win probability 73.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +23.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.2% model win, +23.2% no-vig edge, and +38.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Oct 11, 7:20 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 3.5
UNDER 3.5 +124
Projection3.3
Model win66.3%
No-vig edge+24.6%
Model-implied EV+48.6%
No-vig market41.7%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.2 below line
Market 3.5
PDR 3.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 3.3 is 0.2 below the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 66.3% vs 41.7% no-vig market probability creates a +24.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.3% model win, +24.6% no-vig edge, and +48.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 30.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection35.1
Model win39.4%
No-vig edge-10.6%
Model-implied EV-26.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -180
Projection2.7
Model win85.3%
No-vig edge+25.3%
Model-implied EV+32.7%
No-vig market60.1%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.8 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 2.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 2.7 is 1.8 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 85.3% vs 60.1% no-vig market probability creates a +25.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 85.3% model win, +25.3% no-vig edge, and +32.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 37.5
UNDER 37.5 -114
Projection28.7
Model win74.7%
No-vig edge+24.7%
Model-implied EV+40.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
8.8 below line
Market 37.5
PDR 28.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 28.7 is 8.8 below the 37.5 line.
Model win probability 74.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +24.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 74.7% model win, +24.7% no-vig edge, and +40.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills | Receptions | UNDER 3.5 | 77.6% | +20.9% | +28.0% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |
| Week 8 | Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills | Receiving yards | UNDER 27.5 | 73.2% | +23.2% | +38.0% | WIN · 14 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | UNDER 3.5 | 66.3% | +24.6% | +48.6% | LOSS · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 85.3% | +25.3% | +32.7% | LOSS · 5 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens | Receiving yards | UNDER 37.5 | 74.7% | +24.7% | +40.1% | WIN · 27 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | UNDER 3.5 | 69.8% | +13.1% | +15.1% | LOSS · 4 receptions | Game |