PLAYER PROFILE

Alvin Kamara NFL player props & projections

NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Alvin Kamara. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props

2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.

Published Record
0-1-0
0 voids · 0 pending
Hit Rate
0.0%
1 W/L decision
Published Plays
1
Qualified plays only
Modeled Lines Stored
2
Qualified + did-not-qualify rows

Recent performance vs today's line

Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.

No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards

Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.

WEEK 7

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints

Sun, Oct 25, 8:30 AM CDT
View game →
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
fanduel · Line 16.5
Qualified
OVER 16.5 -114
Projection41.2
Model win69.2%
No-vig edge+19.2%
Model-implied EV+29.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET 24.7 above line
Market 16.5 PDR 41.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 41.2 is 24.7 above the 16.5 line.
Model win probability 69.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +19.2% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 69.2% model win, +19.2% no-vig edge, and +29.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints

Mon, Oct 5, 7:15 PM CDT
View game →
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
fanduel · Line 40.5
Did not qualify
Model side: OVER -114
Projection47.1
Model win44.6%
No-vig edge-5.4%
Model-implied EV-16.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.

Published qualified history

Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.

WeekMatchupMarketPickWinEdgeModel-implied EVResult
Week 7 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints Rushing yards OVER 16.5 69.2% +19.2% +29.9% LOSS · 5 rushing yards Game