Published Record
2-3-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Bryce Young NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Bryce Young. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
40.0%
Published Plays
5
Modeled Lines Stored
13
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Passing TDs
fanduel · OVER 1.5
Projection 1.5Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Passing yards
fanduel · UNDER 256.5
Projection 182.0Cleared line 33%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 9.5
Projection 18.7Cleared line 17%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
Like one of these props? Turn the take into a challenge with friends on Buffet Bets.
Challenge a friend →
Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
Thu, Oct 29, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -108
Projection1.5
Model win50.2%
No-vig edge+1.6%
Model-implied EV-3.3%
No-vig market48.6%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 256.5
UNDER 256.5 -114
Projection182.0
Model win83.7%
No-vig edge+33.7%
Model-implied EV+57.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
74.5 below line
Market 256.5
PDR 182.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 182.0 is 74.5 below the 256.5 line.
Model win probability 83.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +33.7% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 83.7% model win, +33.7% no-vig edge, and +57.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 9.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection18.7
Model win47.7%
No-vig edge-2.3%
Model-implied EV-10.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
Sun, Oct 25, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: UNDER +116
Projection1.5
Model win54.8%
No-vig edge+11.5%
Model-implied EV+18.5%
No-vig market43.3%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 252.5
UNDER 252.5 -114
Projection186.1
Model win80.8%
No-vig edge+30.8%
Model-implied EV+51.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
66.4 below line
Market 252.5
PDR 186.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 186.1 is 66.4 below the 252.5 line.
Model win probability 80.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +30.8% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 80.8% model win, +30.8% no-vig edge, and +51.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers
Sun, Oct 4, 7:20 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -120
Projection1.5
Model win50.4%
No-vig edge-0.6%
Model-implied EV-7.6%
No-vig market51.0%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 241.5
UNDER 241.5 -114
Projection182.0
Model win78.3%
No-vig edge+28.3%
Model-implied EV+47.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
59.5 below line
Market 241.5
PDR 182.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 182.0 is 59.5 below the 241.5 line.
Model win probability 78.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +28.3% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 78.3% model win, +28.3% no-vig edge, and +47.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 12.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection18.8
Model win44.2%
No-vig edge-5.8%
Model-implied EV-17.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: UNDER -152
Projection1.5
Model win54.8%
No-vig edge-1.5%
Model-implied EV-9.1%
No-vig market56.3%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 223.5
UNDER 223.5 -114
Projection176.5
Model win74.0%
No-vig edge+24.0%
Model-implied EV+39.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
47.0 below line
Market 223.5
PDR 176.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 176.5 is 47.0 below the 223.5 line.
Model win probability 74.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +24.0% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 74.0% model win, +24.0% no-vig edge, and +39.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 14.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection19.1
Model win42.5%
No-vig edge-7.5%
Model-implied EV-20.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: UNDER -158
Projection1.5
Model win54.8%
No-vig edge-2.3%
Model-implied EV-10.4%
No-vig market57.2%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 222.5
UNDER 222.5 -114
Projection196.4
Model win63.2%
No-vig edge+13.2%
Model-implied EV+18.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
26.1 below line
Market 222.5
PDR 196.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 196.4 is 26.1 below the 222.5 line.
Model win probability 63.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +13.2% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 63.2% model win, +13.2% no-vig edge, and +18.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers | Passing yards | UNDER 256.5 | 83.7% | +33.7% | +57.2% | WIN · 209 passing yards | Game |
| Week 7 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers | Passing yards | UNDER 252.5 | 80.8% | +30.8% | +51.7% | WIN · 163 passing yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers | Passing yards | UNDER 241.5 | 78.3% | +28.3% | +47.0% | LOSS · 329 passing yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns | Passing yards | UNDER 223.5 | 74.0% | +24.0% | +39.0% | LOSS · 291 passing yards | Game |
| Week 2 | Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons | Passing yards | UNDER 222.5 | 63.2% | +13.2% | +18.6% | LOSS · 287 passing yards | Game |