MODEL RESULTS

NFL player prop results & model record.

Every qualified play counts. This page tracks the current weekly slate, the most recently completed week, and the model's season-to-date record.

Week 10 Live Record

7-4-0

63.6% hit rate

11 graded · 99 pending

Over 41

Under 69

Total 110

Week 9 Record

69-47-0

59.5% hit rate

Season to Date

584-491-0

54.3% hit rate · 27 voids

1102 graded · 99 pending

Top 5 Season Record

21-23-0

47.7% hit rate · 1 void

45 graded · 5 pending

Top 5 frozen pregame plays from each week.

Week Results

Open a game to see every published qualified prop and its result.

Week

Washington Commanders @ New York Giants 7-4-0 · 11 graded · 0 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Cam Skattebo RUSH YARDS

OVER 50.5

Actual 78

WIN

Chig Okonkwo RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual 4

WIN

Darnell Mooney RECEPTIONS

OVER 1.5

Actual 2

WIN

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards

OVER 15.5

Actual 8

LOSS

Devin Singletary RUSH YARDS

OVER 23.5

Actual 3

LOSS

J.J. McCarthy PASS YARDS

UNDER 210.5

Actual 293

LOSS

Jayden Daniels PASS YARDS

UNDER 202.5

Actual 249

LOSS

Malik Nabers RECEPTIONS

UNDER 5.5

Actual 5

WIN

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards

OVER 40.5

Actual 83

WIN

Theo Johnson RECEPTIONS

OVER 0.5

Actual 1

WIN

Theo Johnson Receiving Yards

OVER 5.5

Actual 8

WIN

New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions 8 plays · 8 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Amon-Ra St. Brown RECEPTIONS

UNDER 7.5

Actual —

PENDING

Drake Maye PASS TDS

OVER 1.5

Actual —

PENDING

Drake Maye PASS YARDS

UNDER 262.5

Actual —

PENDING

Isaac TeSlaa Receiving Yards

OVER 18.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jahmyr Gibbs RUSH YARDSTOP 5 #4

UNDER 97.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jahmyr Gibbs RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jared Goff PASS YARDS

UNDER 268.5

Actual —

PENDING

Sam LaPorta RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 7 plays · 7 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Garrett Wilson RECEPTIONS

UNDER 5.5

Actual —

PENDING

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards

UNDER 62.5

Actual —

PENDING

Geno Smith PASS YARDS

UNDER 220.5

Actual —

PENDING

James Cook RUSH YARDS

UNDER 91.5

Actual —

PENDING

Josh Allen PASS YARDS

UNDER 235.5

Actual —

PENDING

Keon Coleman Receiving Yards

OVER 28.5

Actual —

PENDING

Khalil Shakir RECEPTIONS

OVER 3.5

Actual —

PENDING

Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints 10 plays · 10 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Bryce Young PASS YARDS

UNDER 244.5

Actual —

PENDING

Chuba Hubbard RUSH YARDSTOP 5 #1

UNDER 80.5

Actual —

PENDING

Devaughn Vele Receiving Yards

OVER 27.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jalen Coker RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

Juwan Johnson RECEPTIONS

OVER 2.5

Actual —

PENDING

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards

OVER 21.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tetairoa McMillan RECEPTIONS

UNDER 5.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tetairoa McMillan Receiving Yards

UNDER 68.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tyler Shough PASS TDS

UNDER 1.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tyler Shough PASS YARDS

UNDER 252.5

Actual —

PENDING

Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns 10 plays · 10 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

C.J. Stroud PASS YARDS

UNDER 244.5

Actual —

PENDING

Dylan Sampson RECEPTIONS

UNDER 3.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jerry Jeudy RECEPTIONS

OVER 1.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards

OVER 16.5

Actual —

PENDING

Marvin Harrison Jr. RECEPTIONS

OVER 1.5

Actual —

PENDING

Marvin Harrison Jr. Receiving Yards

OVER 20.5

Actual —

PENDING

Nico Collins RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

Quinshon Judkins RECEPTIONS

OVER 1.5

Actual —

PENDING

Quinshon Judkins Receiving Yards

OVER 5.5

Actual —

PENDING

Woody Marks RUSH YARDS

UNDER 64.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans 1 plays · 1 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Parker Washington Receiving Yards

OVER 60.5

Actual —

PENDING

Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons 13 plays · 13 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Drake London RECEPTIONS

UNDER 5.5

Actual —

PENDING

Drake London Receiving Yards

UNDER 72.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jahan Dotson RECEPTIONS

UNDER 2.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards

UNDER 28.5

Actual —

PENDING

Kenneth Walker III RUSH YARDS

UNDER 86.5

Actual —

PENDING

Kenneth Walker III RECEPTIONS

UNDER 2.5

Actual —

PENDING

Kyle Pitts RECEPTIONS

OVER 3.5

Actual —

PENDING

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards

OVER 37.5

Actual —

PENDING

Michael Penix Jr. PASS YARDS

UNDER 223.5

Actual —

PENDING

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards

OVER 7.5

Actual —

PENDING

Patrick Mahomes PASS TDS

UNDER 1.5

Actual —

PENDING

Travis Kelce RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards

UNDER 49.5

Actual —

PENDING

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts 6 plays · 6 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Daniel Jones PASS YARDS

OVER 182.5

Actual —

PENDING

Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards

OVER 34.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jonathan Taylor RECEPTIONS

UNDER 3.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards

UNDER 22.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tyler Warren RECEPTIONS

UNDER 5.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tyler Warren Receiving Yards

UNDER 41.5

Actual —

PENDING

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers 10 plays · 10 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Aaron Jones RUSH YARDSTOP 5 #2

OVER 27.5

Actual —

PENDING

Christian Watson RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

Christian Watson Receiving Yards

UNDER 73.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jordan Love PASS YARDSTOP 5 #3

UNDER 257.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jordan Mason RUSH YARDS

OVER 42.5

Actual —

PENDING

Justin Jefferson RECEPTIONS

UNDER 6.5

Actual —

PENDING

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards

UNDER 77.5

Actual —

PENDING

T.J. Hockenson RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards

UNDER 40.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tucker Kraft RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders 11 plays · 11 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Ashton Jeanty RUSH YARDS

OVER 33.5

Actual —

PENDING

Ashton Jeanty RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

Ashton Jeanty Receiving Yards

UNDER 25.5

Actual —

PENDING

Brock Bowers RECEPTIONS

UNDER 5.5

Actual —

PENDING

Brock Bowers Receiving Yards

UNDER 58.5

Actual —

PENDING

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards

OVER 20.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jaxon Smith-Njigba RECEPTIONS

UNDER 7.5

Actual —

PENDING

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards

UNDER 89.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tre Tucker RECEPTIONS

OVER 2.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tre Tucker Receiving Yards

OVER 26.5

Actual —

PENDING

Zach Charbonnet RUSH YARDS

UNDER 60.5

Actual —

PENDING

San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys 7 plays · 7 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

CeeDee Lamb RECEPTIONSTOP 5 #5

UNDER 7.5

Actual —

PENDING

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards

UNDER 89.5

Actual —

PENDING

Christian McCaffrey RUSH YARDS

OVER 61.5

Actual —

PENDING

Dak Prescott PASS TDS

UNDER 1.5

Actual —

PENDING

George Kittle RECEPTIONS

UNDER 5.5

Actual —

PENDING

George Kittle Receiving Yards

UNDER 62.5

Actual —

PENDING

Javonte Williams RUSH YARDS

UNDER 65.5

Actual —

PENDING

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals 8 plays · 8 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Aaron Rodgers PASS TDS

UNDER 1.5

Actual —

PENDING

Chase Brown RUSH YARDS

OVER 43.5

Actual —

PENDING

Chase Brown RECEPTIONS

UNDER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

Ja'Marr Chase RECEPTIONS

UNDER 7.5

Actual —

PENDING

Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards

UNDER 91.5

Actual —

PENDING

Joe Burrow PASS YARDS

UNDER 289.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tee Higgins RECEPTIONS

UNDER 5.5

Actual —

PENDING

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards

UNDER 76.5

Actual —

PENDING

Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens 8 plays · 8 pending

Player / Market Pick Actual Result

Derrick Henry RUSH YARDS

OVER 77.5

Actual —

PENDING

Justin Herbert PASS YARDS

OVER 208.5

Actual —

PENDING

Keaton Mitchell RUSH YARDS

OVER 9.5

Actual —

PENDING

Kimani Vidal RUSH YARDS

OVER 18.5

Actual —

PENDING

Omarion Hampton RUSH YARDS

OVER 32.5

Actual —

PENDING

Omarion Hampton RECEPTIONS

OVER 1.5

Actual —

PENDING

Omarion Hampton Receiving Yards

OVER 4.5

Actual —

PENDING

Zay Flowers RECEPTIONS

UNDER 5.5

Actual —

PENDING

What counts here

Only published qualified OVER and UNDER recommendations count toward the official record. PASS rows do not. Pushes are tracked separately and excluded from hit-rate calculations.

Coming as results accumulate

OVER vs UNDER Separate records and hit rates by recommendation side.

By market Passing, rushing, receiving, and touchdown-market performance.

ROI Added after clean archived sportsbook prices and grading are available.

Prop-line trends, not PDR picks. These stats compare PDR's stored Tuesday sportsbook lines with final game results. They describe what players and opponents have done versus those lines; they do not change past recommendations or imply a current OVER or UNDER pick. Through Week 10.

Player prop-line records

Season-to-date OVER / UNDER / PUSH record against PDR's stored Tuesday sportsbook line. Displayed with at least 3 graded decisions.

Jordan Love QB · Pass TDs

7-1-0 87.5% OVER · OVER 3

Kirk Cousins QB · Pass Yards

7-1-0 87.5% OVER · UNDER 1

Ashton Jeanty RB · Receiving Yards

6-2-0 75.0% OVER · UNDER 1

CeeDee Lamb WR · Receptions

6-2-0 75.0% OVER · OVER 2

Drake Maye QB · Pass TDs

6-2-0 75.0% OVER · OVER 6

Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · Receiving Yards

6-2-0 75.0% OVER · UNDER 1

Kirk Cousins QB · Pass TDs

6-2-0 75.0% OVER · UNDER 1

Luther Burden III WR · Receiving Yards

6-2-0 75.0% OVER · OVER 4

Tucker Kraft TE · Receptions

6-2-0 75.0% OVER · UNDER 1

Christian Watson WR · Receptions

5-3-0 62.5% OVER · OVER 3

Colston Loveland TE · Receptions

5-3-0 62.5% OVER · UNDER 1

Colston Loveland TE · Receiving Yards

5-3-0 62.5% OVER · OVER 4

Dak Prescott QB · Pass Yards

5-3-0 62.5% OVER · OVER 1

Drake Maye QB · Pass Yards

5-3-0 62.5% OVER · OVER 1

Geno Smith QB · Pass Yards

5-3-0 62.5% OVER · UNDER 1

Jordan Love QB · Pass Yards

5-3-0 62.5% OVER · OVER 2

Current OVER streaks

Players with at least 3 graded line decisions and 2 straight OVER results.

Rome Odunze WR · Receptions

OVER 7 7/7 OVER · 100.0%

Drake Maye QB · Pass TDs

OVER 6 6/8 OVER · 75.0%

Ryan Flournoy WR · Receiving Yards

OVER 5 5/5 OVER · 100.0%

Bucky Irving RB · Rush Yards

OVER 5 6/7 OVER · 85.7%

Jayden Daniels QB · Pass Yards

OVER 5 5/6 OVER · 83.3%

Darnell Mooney WR · Receptions

OVER 4 4/4 OVER · 100.0%

Quentin Johnston WR · Receiving Yards

OVER 4 4/4 OVER · 100.0%

Joe Burrow QB · Pass TDs

OVER 4 6/7 OVER · 85.7%

Current UNDER streaks

Players with at least 3 graded line decisions and 2 straight UNDER results.

Baker Mayfield QB · Pass TDs

UNDER 5 0/5 OVER · 0.0%

Justin Jefferson WR · Receptions

UNDER 5 0/5 OVER · 0.0%

Justin Jefferson WR · Receiving Yards

UNDER 5 0/5 OVER · 0.0%

Ashton Jeanty RB · Rush Yards

UNDER 5 1/8 OVER · 12.5%

Drake Maye QB · Rush Yards

UNDER 5 1/7 OVER · 14.3%

Kalif Raymond WR · Receptions

UNDER 5 1/6 OVER · 16.7%

Kalif Raymond WR · Receiving Yards

UNDER 5 1/6 OVER · 16.7%

Jaylen Waddle WR · Receptions

UNDER 5 2/7 OVER · 28.6%

Opponent OVER rates

Position + market results against each defense. Ranked only with at least 5 graded line decisions; every rate shows its sample size.

TEN vs WR Receptions

8/8 OVER 100.0% · 4/4 recent

ATL vs TE Receptions

6/6 OVER 100.0% · 3/3 recent

BAL vs QB Pass Yards

6/6 OVER 100.0% · 2/2 recent

LV vs RB Rush Yards

6/6 OVER 100.0% · 3/3 recent

NO vs WR Receiving Yards

5/5 OVER 100.0% · 2/2 recent

ATL vs QB Pass Yards

7/8 OVER 87.5% · 1/2 recent

CLE vs RB Rush Yards

6/7 OVER 85.7% · 3/3 recent

DET vs QB Pass TDs

6/7 OVER 85.7% · 1/2 recent

NYG vs QB Pass TDs

6/7 OVER 85.7% · 2/2 recent

HOU vs WR Receiving Yards

10/12 OVER 83.3% · 2/2 recent

BUF vs QB Pass Yards

5/6 OVER 83.3% · 1/2 recent

CLE vs TE Receiving Yards

5/6 OVER 83.3% · 3/4 recent