Published Record
3-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Darnell Mooney NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Darnell Mooney. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
75.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
4
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 5
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -132
Projection3.3
Model win68.2%
No-vig edge+15.0%
Model-implied EV+19.9%
No-vig market53.2%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.8 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.3 is 1.8 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 68.2% vs 53.2% no-vig market probability creates a +15.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.2% model win, +15.0% no-vig edge, and +19.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 18.5
OVER 18.5 -114
Projection42.0
Model win68.7%
No-vig edge+18.7%
Model-implied EV+29.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
23.5 above line
Market 18.5
PDR 42.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 42.0 is 23.5 above the 18.5 line.
Model win probability 68.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +18.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.7% model win, +18.7% no-vig edge, and +29.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 +100
Projection3.1
Model win64.0%
No-vig edge+17.2%
Model-implied EV+28.0%
No-vig market46.8%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.6 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.1 is 1.6 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 64.0% vs 46.8% no-vig market probability creates a +17.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 64.0% model win, +17.2% no-vig edge, and +28.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 17.5
OVER 17.5 -114
Projection42.1
Model win70.4%
No-vig edge+20.4%
Model-implied EV+32.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
24.6 above line
Market 17.5
PDR 42.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 42.1 is 24.6 above the 17.5 line.
Model win probability 70.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +20.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 70.4% model win, +20.4% no-vig edge, and +32.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 | New York Giants @ Washington Commanders | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 68.2% | +15.0% | +19.9% | WIN · 2 receptions | Game |
| Week 5 | New York Giants @ Washington Commanders | Receiving yards | OVER 18.5 | 68.7% | +18.7% | +29.0% | LOSS · 14 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 64.0% | +17.2% | +28.0% | WIN · 2 receptions | Game |
| Week 3 | Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants | Receiving yards | OVER 17.5 | 70.4% | +20.4% | +32.2% | WIN · 20 receiving yards | Game |