Published Record
7-8-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Trey McBride NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Trey McBride. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
46.7%
Published Plays
15
Modeled Lines Stored
14
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 7.5
Projection 6.3Cleared line 38%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · UNDER 71.5
Projection 60.6Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 7.5
UNDER 7.5 -108
Projection6.3
Model win80.1%
No-vig edge+31.5%
Model-implied EV+54.2%
No-vig market48.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.2 below line
Market 7.5
PDR 6.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 6.3 is 1.2 below the 7.5 line.
Model win probability 80.1% vs 48.6% no-vig market probability creates a +31.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 80.1% model win, +31.5% no-vig edge, and +54.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 71.5
UNDER 71.5 -113
Projection60.6
Model win76.5%
No-vig edge+26.5%
Model-implied EV+44.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
10.9 below line
Market 71.5
PDR 60.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 60.6 is 10.9 below the 71.5 line.
Model win probability 76.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +26.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 76.5% model win, +26.5% no-vig edge, and +44.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Oct 25, 3:05 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 7.5
UNDER 7.5 -140
Projection6.4
Model win78.9%
No-vig edge+24.3%
Model-implied EV+35.3%
No-vig market54.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.1 below line
Market 7.5
PDR 6.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 6.4 is 1.1 below the 7.5 line.
Model win probability 78.9% vs 54.6% no-vig market probability creates a +24.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 78.9% model win, +24.3% no-vig edge, and +35.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 65.5
UNDER 65.5 -114
Projection58.0
Model win73.6%
No-vig edge+23.6%
Model-implied EV+38.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
7.5 below line
Market 65.5
PDR 58.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 58.0 is 7.5 below the 65.5 line.
Model win probability 73.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +23.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.6% model win, +23.6% no-vig edge, and +38.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun, Oct 18, 3:05 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 7.5
UNDER 7.5 -140
Projection6.9
Model win73.4%
No-vig edge+18.8%
Model-implied EV+25.8%
No-vig market54.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.6 below line
Market 7.5
PDR 6.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 6.9 is 0.6 below the 7.5 line.
Model win probability 73.4% vs 54.6% no-vig market probability creates a +18.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.4% model win, +18.8% no-vig edge, and +25.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 66.5
UNDER 66.5 -114
Projection64.9
Model win68.4%
No-vig edge+18.4%
Model-implied EV+28.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.6 below line
Market 66.5
PDR 64.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 64.9 is 1.6 below the 66.5 line.
Model win probability 68.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +18.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.4% model win, +18.4% no-vig edge, and +28.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Oct 11, 3:25 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 7.5
UNDER 7.5 +112
Projection6.9
Model win72.9%
No-vig edge+28.8%
Model-implied EV+54.6%
No-vig market44.1%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.6 below line
Market 7.5
PDR 6.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 6.9 is 0.6 below the 7.5 line.
Model win probability 72.9% vs 44.1% no-vig market probability creates a +28.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.9% model win, +28.8% no-vig edge, and +54.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 80.5
UNDER 80.5 -114
Projection64.0
Model win80.5%
No-vig edge+30.5%
Model-implied EV+51.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
16.5 below line
Market 80.5
PDR 64.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 64.0 is 16.5 below the 80.5 line.
Model win probability 80.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +30.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 80.5% model win, +30.5% no-vig edge, and +51.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 7.5
UNDER 7.5 -144
Projection6.5
Model win78.2%
No-vig edge+23.1%
Model-implied EV+32.5%
No-vig market55.1%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.0 below line
Market 7.5
PDR 6.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 6.5 is 1.0 below the 7.5 line.
Model win probability 78.2% vs 55.1% no-vig market probability creates a +23.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 78.2% model win, +23.1% no-vig edge, and +32.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 67.5
UNDER 67.5 -114
Projection61.7
Model win72.1%
No-vig edge+22.1%
Model-implied EV+35.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
5.8 below line
Market 67.5
PDR 61.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 61.7 is 5.8 below the 67.5 line.
Model win probability 72.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +22.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.1% model win, +22.1% no-vig edge, and +35.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers
Sun, Sep 27, 3:05 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 7.5
UNDER 7.5 -148
Projection6.5
Model win77.9%
No-vig edge+22.0%
Model-implied EV+30.5%
No-vig market55.9%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.0 below line
Market 7.5
PDR 6.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 6.5 is 1.0 below the 7.5 line.
Model win probability 77.9% vs 55.9% no-vig market probability creates a +22.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 77.9% model win, +22.0% no-vig edge, and +30.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 67.5
UNDER 67.5 -114
Projection64.2
Model win69.9%
No-vig edge+19.9%
Model-implied EV+31.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
3.3 below line
Market 67.5
PDR 64.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 64.2 is 3.3 below the 67.5 line.
Model win probability 69.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +19.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 69.9% model win, +19.9% no-vig edge, and +31.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 6.5
UNDER 6.5 -108
Projection6.0
Model win72.1%
No-vig edge+23.5%
Model-implied EV+38.8%
No-vig market48.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.5 below line
Market 6.5
PDR 6.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 6.0 is 0.5 below the 6.5 line.
Model win probability 72.1% vs 48.6% no-vig market probability creates a +23.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.1% model win, +23.5% no-vig edge, and +38.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 60.5
UNDER 60.5 -114
Projection54.3
Model win72.7%
No-vig edge+22.7%
Model-implied EV+36.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
6.2 below line
Market 60.5
PDR 54.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 54.3 is 6.2 below the 60.5 line.
Model win probability 72.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +22.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.7% model win, +22.7% no-vig edge, and +36.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | UNDER 7.5 | 80.1% | +31.5% | +54.2% | WIN · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 8 | Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys | Receiving yards | UNDER 71.5 | 76.5% | +26.5% | +44.1% | LOSS · 72 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 7 | Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | UNDER 7.5 | 78.9% | +24.3% | +35.3% | LOSS · 10 receptions | Game |
| Week 7 | Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals | Receiving yards | UNDER 65.5 | 73.6% | +23.6% | +38.1% | LOSS · 111 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 6 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | UNDER 7.5 | 73.4% | +18.8% | +25.8% | WIN · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 6 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams | Receiving yards | UNDER 66.5 | 68.4% | +18.4% | +28.4% | WIN · 53 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | UNDER 7.5 | 72.9% | +28.8% | +54.6% | LOSS · 9 receptions | Game |
| Week 5 | Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals | Receiving yards | UNDER 80.5 | 80.5% | +30.5% | +51.0% | WIN · 66 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants | Receptions | UNDER 7.5 | 78.2% | +23.1% | +32.5% | WIN · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants | Receiving yards | UNDER 67.5 | 72.1% | +22.1% | +35.3% | WIN · 31 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers | Receptions | UNDER 7.5 | 77.9% | +22.0% | +30.5% | LOSS · 9 receptions | Game |
| Week 3 | Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers | Receiving yards | UNDER 67.5 | 69.9% | +19.9% | +31.2% | LOSS · 75 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 2 | Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 72.1% | +23.5% | +38.8% | LOSS · 8 receptions | Game |
| Week 2 | Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals | Receiving yards | UNDER 60.5 | 72.7% | +22.7% | +36.4% | WIN · 41 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 66.6% | +9.9% | +9.8% | LOSS · 9 receptions | Game |