Published Record
1-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Cade Otton NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Cade Otton. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
2
Modeled Lines Stored
10
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 3.5
Projection 4.3Cleared line 40%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 33.5
Projection 46.7Cleared line 60%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection4.3
Model win49.3%
No-vig edge-0.7%
Model-implied EV-7.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 33.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection46.7
Model win52.3%
No-vig edge+2.3%
Model-implied EV-1.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Thu, Oct 8, 7:15 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER +108
Projection3.6
Model win37.7%
No-vig edge-7.2%
Model-implied EV-21.6%
No-vig market44.9%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 27.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection37.2
Model win47.1%
No-vig edge-2.9%
Model-implied EV-11.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -178
Projection3.5
Model win53.9%
No-vig edge-5.9%
Model-implied EV-15.9%
No-vig market59.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 25.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection34.8
Model win46.3%
No-vig edge-3.7%
Model-implied EV-13.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Sep 27, 3:05 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 3.5
UNDER 3.5 -180
Projection2.8
Model win74.7%
No-vig edge+14.6%
Model-implied EV+16.1%
No-vig market60.1%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.7 below line
Market 3.5
PDR 2.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 2.8 is 0.7 below the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 74.7% vs 60.1% no-vig market probability creates a +14.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 74.7% model win, +14.6% no-vig edge, and +16.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 27.5
UNDER 27.5 -114
Projection27.0
Model win67.1%
No-vig edge+17.1%
Model-implied EV+26.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.5 below line
Market 27.5
PDR 27.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 27.0 is 0.5 below the 27.5 line.
Model win probability 67.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +17.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 67.1% model win, +17.1% no-vig edge, and +26.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -158
Projection3.6
Model win54.2%
No-vig edge-2.9%
Model-implied EV-11.5%
No-vig market57.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 27.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection36.0
Model win45.2%
No-vig edge-4.8%
Model-implied EV-15.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.