PLAYER PROFILE

Chig Okonkwo NFL player props & projections

NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Chig Okonkwo. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props

2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.

Published Record
2-0-0
0 voids · 0 pending
Hit Rate
100.0%
2 W/L decisions
Published Plays
2
Qualified plays only
Modeled Lines Stored
2
Qualified + did-not-qualify rows

Recent performance vs today's line

Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.

CURRENT WEEK

Receptions

fanduel · UNDER 3.5
Projection 3.2Cleared line 100%
2W8Line 3.5PDR 3.2
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK

Receiving yards

fanduel · UNDER 32.5
Projection 27.3Cleared line 100%
32W8Line 32.5PDR 27.3
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards

Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.

WEEK 8

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders

Sun, Nov 1, 6:20 PM CST
View game →
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
fanduel · Line 3.5
Qualified
UNDER 3.5 -140
Projection3.2
Model win68.6%
No-vig edge+14.0%
Model-implied EV+17.6%
No-vig market54.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET 0.3 below line
Market 3.5 PDR 3.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 3.2 is 0.3 below the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 68.6% vs 54.6% no-vig market probability creates a +14.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.6% model win, +14.0% no-vig edge, and +17.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
fanduel · Line 32.5
Qualified
UNDER 32.5 -113
Projection27.3
Model win71.5%
No-vig edge+21.5%
Model-implied EV+34.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET 5.2 below line
Market 32.5 PDR 27.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 27.3 is 5.2 below the 32.5 line.
Model win probability 71.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +21.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 71.5% model win, +21.5% no-vig edge, and +34.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.

Published qualified history

Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.

WeekMatchupMarketPickWinEdgeModel-implied EVResult
Week 8 Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders Receptions UNDER 3.5 68.6% +14.0% +17.6% WIN · 2 receptions Game
Week 8 Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders Receiving yards UNDER 32.5 71.5% +21.5% +34.9% WIN · 32 receiving yards Game