Published Record
2-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Jameis Winston NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Jameis Winston. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
66.7%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
8
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 6
New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants
Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
UNDER 1.5 -154
Projection0.7
Model win73.4%
No-vig edge+16.7%
Model-implied EV+21.1%
No-vig market56.7%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.8 below line
Market 1.5
PDR 0.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 0.7 is 0.8 below the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 73.4% vs 56.7% no-vig market probability creates a +16.7% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 73.4% model win, +16.7% no-vig edge, and +21.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 222.5
UNDER 222.5 -114
Projection193.9
Model win63.6%
No-vig edge+13.6%
Model-implied EV+19.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
28.6 below line
Market 222.5
PDR 193.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 193.9 is 28.6 below the 222.5 line.
Model win probability 63.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +13.6% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 63.6% model win, +13.6% no-vig edge, and +19.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
UNDER 1.5 -220
Projection0.7
Model win73.3%
No-vig edge+9.0%
Model-implied EV+6.6%
No-vig market64.3%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.8 below line
Market 1.5
PDR 0.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 0.7 is 0.8 below the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 73.3% vs 64.3% no-vig market probability creates a +9.0% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 73.3% model win, +9.0% no-vig edge, and +6.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Passing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 201.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection207.6
Model win52.3%
No-vig edge+2.3%
Model-implied EV-1.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: UNDER -240
Projection0.7
Model win73.3%
No-vig edge+7.3%
Model-implied EV+3.8%
No-vig market65.9%
Samples516
Model-implied EV did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 208.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection210.2
Model win50.0%
No-vig edge+0.0%
Model-implied EV-6.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: UNDER -270
Projection0.7
Model win73.4%
No-vig edge+5.2%
Model-implied EV+0.7%
No-vig market68.2%
Samples516
Model-implied EV did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 208.5
Model side: UNDER -114
Projection197.9
Model win56.4%
No-vig edge+6.4%
Model-implied EV+5.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants | Passing TDs | UNDER 1.5 | 73.4% | +16.7% | +21.1% | WIN · 1 passing TD | Game |
| Week 6 | New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants | Passing yards | UNDER 222.5 | 63.6% | +13.6% | +19.3% | WIN · 152 passing yards | Game |
| Week 5 | New York Giants @ Washington Commanders | Passing TDs | UNDER 1.5 | 73.3% | +9.0% | +6.6% | LOSS · 3 passing TDs | Game |