Published Record
1-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
David Montgomery NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for David Montgomery. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
2
Modeled Lines Stored
3
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
Like one of these props? Turn the take into a challenge with friends on Buffet Bets.
Challenge a friend →
Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 5
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 46.5
UNDER 46.5 -114
Projection41.7
Model win68.5%
No-vig edge+18.5%
Model-implied EV+28.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
4.8 below line
Market 46.5
PDR 41.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 41.7 is 4.8 below the 46.5 line.
Model win probability 68.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +18.5% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 68.5% model win, +18.5% no-vig edge, and +28.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 51.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection54.8
Model win41.3%
No-vig edge-8.7%
Model-implied EV-22.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 48.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection50.8
Model win40.5%
No-vig edge-9.5%
Model-implied EV-24.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.