Published Record
2-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Theo Johnson NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Theo Johnson. Browse all players · Week 10 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
2
Modeled Lines Stored
2
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 0.5
Projection 2.6Cleared line 100%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 5.5
Projection 35.9Cleared line 100%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
Like one of these props? Turn the take into a challenge with friends on Buffet Bets.
Challenge a friend →
Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 10
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants
Thu, Nov 12, 7:15 PM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 0.5
OVER 0.5 -180
Projection2.6
Model win75.3%
No-vig edge+15.2%
Model-implied EV+17.1%
No-vig market60.1%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.1 above line
Market 0.5
PDR 2.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 2.6 is 2.1 above the 0.5 line.
Model win probability 75.3% vs 60.1% no-vig market probability creates a +15.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.3% model win, +15.2% no-vig edge, and +17.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
OVER 5.5 -114
Projection35.9
Model win78.8%
No-vig edge+28.8%
Model-implied EV+47.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
30.4 above line
Market 5.5
PDR 35.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 35.9 is 30.4 above the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 78.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +28.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 78.8% model win, +28.8% no-vig edge, and +47.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.