Published Record
3-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Zay Flowers NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Zay Flowers. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
2
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 6.5
Projection 4.9Cleared line 75%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · UNDER 82.5
Projection 69.1Cleared line 25%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 6.5
UNDER 6.5 -160
Projection4.9
Model win83.6%
No-vig edge+26.1%
Model-implied EV+35.9%
No-vig market57.5%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.6 below line
Market 6.5
PDR 4.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.9 is 1.6 below the 6.5 line.
Model win probability 83.6% vs 57.5% no-vig market probability creates a +26.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 83.6% model win, +26.1% no-vig edge, and +35.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 82.5
UNDER 82.5 -113
Projection69.1
Model win78.6%
No-vig edge+28.6%
Model-implied EV+48.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
13.4 below line
Market 82.5
PDR 69.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 69.1 is 13.4 below the 82.5 line.
Model win probability 78.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +28.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 78.6% model win, +28.6% no-vig edge, and +48.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 83.6% | +26.1% | +35.9% | WIN · 0 receptions | Game |
| Week 8 | Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills | Receiving yards | UNDER 82.5 | 78.6% | +28.6% | +48.2% | WIN · 0 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts | Receiving yards | OVER 63.5 | 64.4% | +14.4% | +20.9% | WIN · 150 receiving yards | Game |