Published Record
3-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Tyler Allgeier NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Tyler Allgeier. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
4
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 13.5
Projection 52.4Cleared line 67%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 13.5
OVER 13.5 -113
Projection52.4
Model win86.2%
No-vig edge+36.2%
Model-implied EV+62.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
38.9 above line
Market 13.5
PDR 52.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 52.4 is 38.9 above the 13.5 line.
Model win probability 86.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +36.2% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 86.2% model win, +36.2% no-vig edge, and +62.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun, Oct 18, 3:05 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 21.5
OVER 21.5 -114
Projection54.1
Model win78.9%
No-vig edge+28.9%
Model-implied EV+48.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
32.6 above line
Market 21.5
PDR 54.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 54.1 is 32.6 above the 21.5 line.
Model win probability 78.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +28.9% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 78.9% model win, +28.9% no-vig edge, and +48.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 18.5
OVER 18.5 -114
Projection45.1
Model win71.5%
No-vig edge+21.5%
Model-implied EV+34.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
26.6 above line
Market 18.5
PDR 45.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 45.1 is 26.6 above the 18.5 line.
Model win probability 71.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +21.5% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 71.5% model win, +21.5% no-vig edge, and +34.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers
Sun, Sep 27, 3:05 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 33.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection42.1
Model win46.7%
No-vig edge-3.3%
Model-implied EV-12.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys | Rushing yards | OVER 13.5 | 86.2% | +36.2% | +62.4% | WIN · 147 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 6 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams | Rushing yards | OVER 21.5 | 78.9% | +28.9% | +48.1% | WIN · 38 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants | Rushing yards | OVER 18.5 | 71.5% | +21.5% | +34.2% | WIN · 42 rushing yards | Game |