Published Record
0-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Keaton Mitchell NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Keaton Mitchell. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
0.0%
Published Plays
1
Modeled Lines Stored
2
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 14.5
Projection 53.6Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun, Nov 1, 2:05 PM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 14.5
OVER 14.5 -113
Projection53.6
Model win86.4%
No-vig edge+36.4%
Model-implied EV+62.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
39.1 above line
Market 14.5
PDR 53.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 53.6 is 39.1 above the 14.5 line.
Model win probability 86.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +36.4% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 86.4% model win, +36.4% no-vig edge, and +62.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers
Sun, Oct 11, 3:05 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 30.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection32.0
Model win39.3%
No-vig edge-10.7%
Model-implied EV-26.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams | Rushing yards | OVER 14.5 | 86.4% | +36.4% | +62.9% | LOSS · 6 rushing yards | Game |