Published Record
6-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
George Pickens NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for George Pickens. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
75.0%
Published Plays
8
Modeled Lines Stored
14
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 4.5
Projection 5.1Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · UNDER 65.5
Projection 63.8Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER -110
Projection5.1
Model win46.8%
No-vig edge-2.1%
Model-implied EV-10.6%
No-vig market49.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 65.5
UNDER 65.5 -113
Projection63.8
Model win68.4%
No-vig edge+18.4%
Model-implied EV+28.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.7 below line
Market 65.5
PDR 63.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 63.8 is 1.7 below the 65.5 line.
Model win probability 68.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +18.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.4% model win, +18.4% no-vig edge, and +28.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
Mon, Oct 26, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 +106
Projection4.4
Model win66.0%
No-vig edge+20.6%
Model-implied EV+36.0%
No-vig market45.4%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.1 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.4 is 0.1 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 66.0% vs 45.4% no-vig market probability creates a +20.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.0% model win, +20.6% no-vig edge, and +36.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 62.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection68.1
Model win40.7%
No-vig edge-9.3%
Model-implied EV-23.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 6
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers
Sun, Oct 18, 7:20 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER -146
Projection5.0
Model win44.6%
No-vig edge-10.9%
Model-implied EV-24.8%
No-vig market55.5%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 67.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection73.2
Model win40.8%
No-vig edge-9.2%
Model-implied EV-23.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Thu, Oct 8, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -122
Projection4.3
Model win66.5%
No-vig edge+15.1%
Model-implied EV+21.0%
No-vig market51.4%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.2 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.3 is 0.2 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 66.5% vs 51.4% no-vig market probability creates a +15.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.5% model win, +15.1% no-vig edge, and +21.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 61.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection68.7
Model win43.0%
No-vig edge-7.0%
Model-implied EV-19.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 +108
Projection4.5
Model win64.2%
No-vig edge+19.3%
Model-implied EV+33.5%
No-vig market44.9%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.0 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.5 is 0.0 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 64.2% vs 44.9% no-vig market probability creates a +19.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 64.2% model win, +19.3% no-vig edge, and +33.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 68.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection76.3
Model win44.1%
No-vig edge-5.9%
Model-implied EV-17.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Sep 27, 3:25 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -148
Projection5.1
Model win69.6%
No-vig edge+13.8%
Model-implied EV+16.7%
No-vig market55.9%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.4 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 5.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 5.1 is 0.4 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 69.6% vs 55.9% no-vig market probability creates a +13.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 69.6% model win, +13.8% no-vig edge, and +16.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 59.5
OVER 59.5 -114
Projection80.6
Model win64.4%
No-vig edge+14.4%
Model-implied EV+20.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
21.1 above line
Market 59.5
PDR 80.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 80.6 is 21.1 above the 59.5 line.
Model win probability 64.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +14.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 64.4% model win, +14.4% no-vig edge, and +20.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection4.8
Model win41.9%
No-vig edge-8.1%
Model-implied EV-21.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 60.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection71.3
Model win49.1%
No-vig edge-0.9%
Model-implied EV-7.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys | Receiving yards | UNDER 65.5 | 68.4% | +18.4% | +28.9% | WIN · 48 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 7 | Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 66.0% | +20.6% | +36.0% | WIN · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 5 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 66.5% | +15.1% | +21.0% | LOSS · 9 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 64.2% | +19.3% | +33.5% | WIN · 2 receptions | Game |
| Week 3 | Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 69.6% | +13.8% | +16.7% | LOSS · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 3 | Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys | Receiving yards | OVER 59.5 | 64.4% | +14.4% | +20.9% | WIN · 82 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 75.5% | +17.2% | +21.0% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |
| Week 1 | Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants | Receiving yards | UNDER 69.5 | 68.1% | +18.1% | +27.8% | WIN · 28 receiving yards | Game |