Published Record
3-3-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Jacoby Brissett NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Jacoby Brissett. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
6
Modeled Lines Stored
12
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Passing TDs
fanduel · OVER 1.5
Projection 1.9Cleared line 43%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Passing yards
fanduel · UNDER 258.5
Projection 247.6Cleared line 57%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -154
Projection1.9
Model win59.9%
No-vig edge+3.0%
Model-implied EV-1.2%
No-vig market56.9%
Samples516
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 258.5
Model side: UNDER -113
Projection247.6
Model win56.4%
No-vig edge+6.4%
Model-implied EV+6.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 6
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun, Oct 18, 3:05 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 +146
Projection1.9
Model win60.7%
No-vig edge+22.7%
Model-implied EV+49.2%
No-vig market38.0%
Samples516
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.4 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 1.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 1.9 is 0.4 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 60.7% vs 38.0% no-vig market probability creates a +22.7% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 60.7% model win, +22.7% no-vig edge, and +49.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Passing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 244.5
Model side: UNDER -114
Projection240.6
Model win52.7%
No-vig edge+2.7%
Model-implied EV-1.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Oct 11, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -136
Projection1.9
Model win59.5%
No-vig edge+5.7%
Model-implied EV+3.2%
No-vig market53.8%
Samples516
Model-implied EV did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 270.5
UNDER 270.5 -114
Projection224.0
Model win74.0%
No-vig edge+24.0%
Model-implied EV+39.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
46.5 below line
Market 270.5
PDR 224.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 224.0 is 46.5 below the 270.5 line.
Model win probability 74.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +24.0% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 74.0% model win, +24.0% no-vig edge, and +39.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER +122
Projection1.8
Model win56.6%
No-vig edge+14.4%
Model-implied EV+25.6%
No-vig market42.1%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 229.5
UNDER 229.5 -114
Projection198.1
Model win65.5%
No-vig edge+15.5%
Model-implied EV+23.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
31.4 below line
Market 229.5
PDR 198.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 198.1 is 31.4 below the 229.5 line.
Model win probability 65.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +15.5% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 65.5% model win, +15.5% no-vig edge, and +23.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers
Sun, Sep 27, 3:05 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 +178
Projection1.9
Model win59.5%
No-vig edge+25.9%
Model-implied EV+65.4%
No-vig market33.6%
Samples516
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.4 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 1.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 1.9 is 0.4 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 59.5% vs 33.6% no-vig market probability creates a +25.9% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 59.5% model win, +25.9% no-vig edge, and +65.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 225.5
OVER 225.5 -114
Projection252.1
Model win59.1%
No-vig edge+9.1%
Model-implied EV+11.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
26.6 above line
Market 225.5
PDR 252.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 252.1 is 26.6 above the 225.5 line.
Model win probability 59.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +9.1% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 59.1% model win, +9.1% no-vig edge, and +11.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER +194
Projection1.8
Model win56.4%
No-vig edge+24.6%
Model-implied EV+65.8%
No-vig market31.8%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 216.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection223.7
Model win52.5%
No-vig edge+2.5%
Model-implied EV-1.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams | Passing TDs | OVER 1.5 | 60.7% | +22.7% | +49.2% | LOSS · 0 passing TDs | Game |
| Week 5 | Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals | Passing yards | UNDER 270.5 | 74.0% | +24.0% | +39.0% | LOSS · 292 passing yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants | Passing yards | UNDER 229.5 | 65.5% | +15.5% | +23.0% | WIN · 166 passing yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers | Passing TDs | OVER 1.5 | 59.5% | +25.9% | +65.4% | WIN · 2 passing TDs | Game |
| Week 3 | Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers | Passing yards | OVER 225.5 | 59.1% | +9.1% | +11.0% | WIN · 280 passing yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers | Passing TDs | OVER 1.5 | 59.5% | +22.7% | +51.1% | LOSS · 1 passing TD | Game |