Published Record
0-8-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Kirk Cousins NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Kirk Cousins. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
0.0%
Published Plays
8
Modeled Lines Stored
14
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Passing TDs
fanduel · UNDER 1.5
Projection 1.3Cleared line 13%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Passing yards
fanduel · UNDER 232.5
Projection 216.6Cleared line 13%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
Like one of these props? Turn the take into a challenge with friends on Buffet Bets.
Challenge a friend →
Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
UNDER 1.5 -110
Projection1.3
Model win57.9%
No-vig edge+8.8%
Model-implied EV+10.6%
No-vig market49.2%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.2 below line
Market 1.5
PDR 1.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 1.3 is 0.2 below the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 57.9% vs 49.2% no-vig market probability creates a +8.8% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 57.9% model win, +8.8% no-vig edge, and +10.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 232.5
UNDER 232.5 -113
Projection216.6
Model win59.1%
No-vig edge+9.1%
Model-implied EV+11.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
15.9 below line
Market 232.5
PDR 216.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 216.6 is 15.9 below the 232.5 line.
Model win probability 59.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +9.1% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 59.1% model win, +9.1% no-vig edge, and +11.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun, Oct 25, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: UNDER -130
Projection1.3
Model win57.9%
No-vig edge+5.1%
Model-implied EV+2.5%
No-vig market52.8%
Samples516
Model-implied EV did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 236.5
UNDER 236.5 -114
Projection200.6
Model win68.6%
No-vig edge+18.6%
Model-implied EV+28.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
35.9 below line
Market 236.5
PDR 200.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 200.6 is 35.9 below the 236.5 line.
Model win probability 68.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +18.6% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 68.6% model win, +18.6% no-vig edge, and +28.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun, Oct 18, 3:25 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
UNDER 1.5 +118
Projection1.3
Model win57.6%
No-vig edge+14.7%
Model-implied EV+25.5%
No-vig market42.8%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.2 below line
Market 1.5
PDR 1.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 1.3 is 0.2 below the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 57.6% vs 42.8% no-vig market probability creates a +14.7% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 57.6% model win, +14.7% no-vig edge, and +25.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 241.5
UNDER 241.5 -114
Projection171.7
Model win81.8%
No-vig edge+31.8%
Model-implied EV+53.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
69.8 below line
Market 241.5
PDR 171.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 171.7 is 69.8 below the 241.5 line.
Model win probability 81.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +31.8% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 81.8% model win, +31.8% no-vig edge, and +53.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: UNDER -152
Projection1.3
Model win57.9%
No-vig edge+1.6%
Model-implied EV-3.9%
No-vig market56.3%
Samples516
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 233.5
UNDER 233.5 -114
Projection173.6
Model win78.3%
No-vig edge+28.3%
Model-implied EV+47.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
59.9 below line
Market 233.5
PDR 173.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 173.6 is 59.9 below the 233.5 line.
Model win probability 78.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +28.3% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 78.3% model win, +28.3% no-vig edge, and +47.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun, Oct 4, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: UNDER -158
Projection1.3
Model win57.9%
No-vig edge+0.8%
Model-implied EV-5.4%
No-vig market57.2%
Samples516
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 225.5
UNDER 225.5 -114
Projection187.2
Model win69.6%
No-vig edge+19.6%
Model-implied EV+30.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
38.3 below line
Market 225.5
PDR 187.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 187.2 is 38.3 below the 225.5 line.
Model win probability 69.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +19.6% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 69.6% model win, +19.6% no-vig edge, and +30.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Sep 27, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: UNDER -192
Projection1.3
Model win57.9%
No-vig edge-3.5%
Model-implied EV-11.9%
No-vig market61.4%
Samples516
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 211.5
UNDER 211.5 -114
Projection195.7
Model win59.1%
No-vig edge+9.1%
Model-implied EV+11.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
15.8 below line
Market 211.5
PDR 195.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 195.7 is 15.8 below the 211.5 line.
Model win probability 59.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +9.1% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 59.1% model win, +9.1% no-vig edge, and +11.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers
Sun, Sep 20, 3:05 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 0.5
Model side: OVER -260
Projection1.3
Model win68.4%
No-vig edge+0.9%
Model-implied EV-5.3%
No-vig market67.5%
Samples516
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 192.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection198.8
Model win52.3%
No-vig edge+2.3%
Model-implied EV-1.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets | Passing TDs | UNDER 1.5 | 57.9% | +8.8% | +10.6% | LOSS · 3 passing TDs | Game |
| Week 8 | Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets | Passing yards | UNDER 232.5 | 59.1% | +9.1% | +11.4% | LOSS · 247 passing yards | Game |
| Week 7 | Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders | Passing yards | UNDER 236.5 | 68.6% | +18.6% | +28.8% | LOSS · 295 passing yards | Game |
| Week 6 | Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders | Passing TDs | UNDER 1.5 | 57.6% | +14.7% | +25.5% | LOSS · 2 passing TDs | Game |
| Week 6 | Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders | Passing yards | UNDER 241.5 | 81.8% | +31.8% | +53.5% | LOSS · 313 passing yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots | Passing yards | UNDER 233.5 | 78.3% | +28.3% | +47.0% | LOSS · 243 passing yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders | Passing yards | UNDER 225.5 | 69.6% | +19.6% | +30.6% | LOSS · 365 passing yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints | Passing yards | UNDER 211.5 | 59.1% | +9.1% | +11.0% | LOSS · 248 passing yards | Game |