Published Record
0-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Carson Wentz NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Carson Wentz. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
0.0%
Published Plays
1
Modeled Lines Stored
2
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 2
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: UNDER -188
Projection1.1
Model win62.6%
No-vig edge+1.6%
Model-implied EV-4.1%
No-vig market61.0%
Samples516
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 207.5
OVER 207.5 -114
Projection249.8
Model win67.1%
No-vig edge+17.1%
Model-implied EV+25.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
42.3 above line
Market 207.5
PDR 249.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 249.8 is 42.3 above the 207.5 line.
Model win probability 67.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +17.1% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 67.1% model win, +17.1% no-vig edge, and +25.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears | Passing yards | OVER 207.5 | 67.1% | +17.1% | +25.9% | LOSS · 143 passing yards | Game |