Published Record
2-5-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Malik Nabers NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Malik Nabers. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
28.6%
Published Plays
7
Modeled Lines Stored
12
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
Like one of these props? Turn the take into a challenge with friends on Buffet Bets.
Challenge a friend →
Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 7
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
Sun, Oct 25, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -104
Projection4.5
Model win77.6%
No-vig edge+30.0%
Model-implied EV+52.3%
No-vig market47.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.0 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 4.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.5 is 1.0 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 77.6% vs 47.6% no-vig market probability creates a +30.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 77.6% model win, +30.0% no-vig edge, and +52.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 68.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection76.6
Model win44.5%
No-vig edge-5.5%
Model-implied EV-16.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 6
New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants
Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -118
Projection4.3
Model win79.2%
No-vig edge+28.6%
Model-implied EV+46.4%
No-vig market50.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.2 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 4.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.3 is 1.2 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 79.2% vs 50.6% no-vig market probability creates a +28.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 79.2% model win, +28.6% no-vig edge, and +46.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 68.5
UNDER 68.5 -114
Projection64.8
Model win70.2%
No-vig edge+20.2%
Model-implied EV+31.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
3.7 below line
Market 68.5
PDR 64.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 64.8 is 3.7 below the 68.5 line.
Model win probability 70.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +20.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 70.2% model win, +20.2% no-vig edge, and +31.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -160
Projection4.9
Model win73.4%
No-vig edge+15.9%
Model-implied EV+19.3%
No-vig market57.5%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.6 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 4.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.9 is 0.6 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 73.4% vs 57.5% no-vig market probability creates a +15.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.4% model win, +15.9% no-vig edge, and +19.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 54.5
OVER 54.5 -114
Projection71.2
Model win58.0%
No-vig edge+8.0%
Model-implied EV+8.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
16.7 above line
Market 54.5
PDR 71.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 71.2 is 16.7 above the 54.5 line.
Model win probability 58.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +8.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 58.0% model win, +8.0% no-vig edge, and +8.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER -130
Projection5.2
Model win48.2%
No-vig edge-4.6%
Model-implied EV-14.7%
No-vig market52.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 54.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection64.1
Model win46.8%
No-vig edge-3.2%
Model-implied EV-12.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection4.6
Model win37.9%
No-vig edge-12.1%
Model-implied EV-28.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 56.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection70.4
Model win53.7%
No-vig edge+3.7%
Model-implied EV+0.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
Mon, Sep 21, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -114
Projection4.8
Model win74.7%
No-vig edge+24.7%
Model-implied EV+40.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.7 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 4.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.8 is 0.7 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 74.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +24.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 74.7% model win, +24.7% no-vig edge, and +40.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 65.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection71.5
Model win41.3%
No-vig edge-8.7%
Model-implied EV-22.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 | New York Giants @ Houston Texans | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 77.6% | +30.0% | +52.3% | LOSS · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 6 | New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 79.2% | +28.6% | +46.4% | LOSS · 12 receptions | Game |
| Week 6 | New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants | Receiving yards | UNDER 68.5 | 70.2% | +20.2% | +31.9% | LOSS · 165 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | New York Giants @ Washington Commanders | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 73.4% | +15.9% | +19.3% | LOSS · 11 receptions | Game |
| Week 5 | New York Giants @ Washington Commanders | Receiving yards | OVER 54.5 | 58.0% | +8.0% | +8.8% | WIN · 121 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 2 | New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 74.7% | +24.7% | +40.1% | WIN · 1 reception | Game |
| Week 1 | Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 71.7% | +15.0% | +18.3% | LOSS · 6 receptions | Game |