Published Record
0-5-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Calvin Ridley NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Calvin Ridley. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
0.0%
Published Plays
6
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 1.5
Projection 2.9Cleared line 20%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 22.5
Projection 52.5Cleared line 20%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -168
Projection2.9
Model win59.6%
No-vig edge+1.0%
Model-implied EV-4.9%
No-vig market58.6%
Samples2154
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 22.5
OVER 22.5 -113
Projection52.5
Model win77.9%
No-vig edge+27.9%
Model-implied EV+46.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
30.0 above line
Market 22.5
PDR 52.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 52.5 is 30.0 above the 22.5 line.
Model win probability 77.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +27.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 77.9% model win, +27.9% no-vig edge, and +46.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 +120
Projection3.4
Model win71.1%
No-vig edge+28.6%
Model-implied EV+56.4%
No-vig market42.5%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.9 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.4 is 1.9 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 71.1% vs 42.5% no-vig market probability creates a +28.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 71.1% model win, +28.6% no-vig edge, and +56.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 13.0
OVER 13.0 -114
Projection60.3
Model win93.6%
No-vig edge+43.6%
Model-implied EV+75.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
47.3 above line
Market 13.0
PDR 60.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 60.3 is 47.3 above the 13.0 line.
Model win probability 93.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +43.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 93.6% model win, +43.6% no-vig edge, and +75.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 +112
Projection3.1
Model win65.8%
No-vig edge+21.7%
Model-implied EV+39.6%
No-vig market44.1%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.6 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.1 is 1.6 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 65.8% vs 44.1% no-vig market probability creates a +21.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 65.8% model win, +21.7% no-vig edge, and +39.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 14.5
OVER 14.5 -114
Projection52.4
Model win86.9%
No-vig edge+36.9%
Model-implied EV+63.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
37.9 above line
Market 14.5
PDR 52.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 52.4 is 37.9 above the 14.5 line.
Model win probability 86.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +36.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 86.9% model win, +36.9% no-vig edge, and +63.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals | Receiving yards | OVER 22.5 | 77.9% | +27.9% | +46.9% | LOSS · 10 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 6 | Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 71.1% | +28.6% | +56.4% | LOSS · 0 receptions | Game |
| Week 6 | Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts | Receiving yards | OVER 13.0 | 93.6% | +43.6% | +75.7% | LOSS · 0 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 65.8% | +21.7% | +39.6% | LOSS · 0 receptions | Game |
| Week 3 | Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants | Receiving yards | OVER 14.5 | 86.9% | +36.9% | +63.1% | LOSS · 0 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans | Receiving yards | OVER 27.5 | 82.2% | +32.2% | +54.3% | VOID | Game |