Published Record
2-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
James Cook NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for James Cook. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · UNDER 82.5
Projection 74.1Cleared line 43%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 82.5
UNDER 82.5 -113
Projection74.1
Model win71.6%
No-vig edge+21.6%
Model-implied EV+35.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
8.4 below line
Market 82.5
PDR 74.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 74.1 is 8.4 below the 82.5 line.
Model win probability 71.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +21.6% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 71.6% model win, +21.6% no-vig edge, and +35.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun, Oct 18, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 92.5
UNDER 92.5 -114
Projection76.2
Model win77.6%
No-vig edge+27.6%
Model-implied EV+45.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
16.3 below line
Market 92.5
PDR 76.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 76.2 is 16.3 below the 92.5 line.
Model win probability 77.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +27.6% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 77.6% model win, +27.6% no-vig edge, and +45.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams
Mon, Oct 12, 7:15 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 75.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection89.6
Model win54.6%
No-vig edge+4.6%
Model-implied EV+2.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 87.5
UNDER 87.5 -114
Projection86.1
Model win64.6%
No-vig edge+14.6%
Model-implied EV+21.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.4 below line
Market 87.5
PDR 86.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 86.1 is 1.4 below the 87.5 line.
Model win probability 64.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +14.6% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 64.6% model win, +14.6% no-vig edge, and +21.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 77.5
UNDER 77.5 -114
Projection75.3
Model win65.2%
No-vig edge+15.2%
Model-implied EV+22.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.2 below line
Market 77.5
PDR 75.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 75.3 is 2.2 below the 77.5 line.
Model win probability 65.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +15.2% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 65.2% model win, +15.2% no-vig edge, and +22.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills
Thu, Sep 17, 7:15 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 74.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection83.0
Model win46.5%
No-vig edge-3.5%
Model-implied EV-12.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills | Rushing yards | UNDER 82.5 | 71.6% | +21.6% | +35.0% | WIN · 80 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 6 | Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders | Rushing yards | UNDER 92.5 | 77.6% | +27.6% | +45.7% | LOSS · 95 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 4 | New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills | Rushing yards | UNDER 87.5 | 64.6% | +14.6% | +21.2% | WIN · 75 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills | Rushing yards | UNDER 77.5 | 65.2% | +15.2% | +22.4% | LOSS · 154 rushing yards | Game |