Published Record
2-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Jerry Jeudy NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Jerry Jeudy. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 2.5
Projection 3.5Cleared line 25%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 21.5
Projection 50.2Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER +148
Projection3.5
Model win53.7%
No-vig edge+16.0%
Model-implied EV+33.2%
No-vig market37.7%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 21.5
OVER 21.5 -113
Projection50.2
Model win76.4%
No-vig edge+26.4%
Model-implied EV+44.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
28.7 above line
Market 21.5
PDR 50.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 50.2 is 28.7 above the 21.5 line.
Model win probability 76.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +26.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 76.4% model win, +26.4% no-vig edge, and +44.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
Thu, Oct 1, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 +124
Projection3.5
Model win73.4%
No-vig edge+31.7%
Model-implied EV+64.4%
No-vig market41.7%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.0 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.5 is 2.0 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 73.4% vs 41.7% no-vig market probability creates a +31.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.4% model win, +31.7% no-vig edge, and +64.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 13.5
OVER 13.5 -114
Projection50.0
Model win85.8%
No-vig edge+35.8%
Model-implied EV+61.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
36.5 above line
Market 13.5
PDR 50.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 50.0 is 36.5 above the 13.5 line.
Model win probability 85.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +35.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 85.8% model win, +35.8% no-vig edge, and +61.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection3.5
Model win53.2%
No-vig edge+3.2%
Model-implied EV-0.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 29.5
OVER 29.5 -114
Projection47.0
Model win59.4%
No-vig edge+9.4%
Model-implied EV+11.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
17.5 above line
Market 29.5
PDR 47.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 47.0 is 17.5 above the 29.5 line.
Model win probability 59.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +9.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 59.4% model win, +9.4% no-vig edge, and +11.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving yards | OVER 21.5 | 76.4% | +26.4% | +44.0% | LOSS · 0 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 73.4% | +31.7% | +64.4% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns | Receiving yards | OVER 13.5 | 85.8% | +35.8% | +61.1% | WIN · 36 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 2 | Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving yards | OVER 29.5 | 59.4% | +9.4% | +11.6% | LOSS · 0 receiving yards | Game |