Published Record
1-7-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Troy Franklin NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Troy Franklin. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
12.5%
Published Plays
8
Modeled Lines Stored
8
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 1.5
Projection 3.3Cleared line 14%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 14.5
Projection 37.9Cleared line 43%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Sun, Nov 1, 2:25 PM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -106
Projection3.3
Model win67.8%
No-vig edge+19.7%
Model-implied EV+31.8%
No-vig market48.1%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.8 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.3 is 1.8 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 67.8% vs 48.1% no-vig market probability creates a +19.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 67.8% model win, +19.7% no-vig edge, and +31.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 14.5
OVER 14.5 -113
Projection37.9
Model win68.5%
No-vig edge+18.5%
Model-implied EV+29.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
23.4 above line
Market 14.5
PDR 37.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 37.9 is 23.4 above the 14.5 line.
Model win probability 68.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +18.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.5% model win, +18.5% no-vig edge, and +29.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Oct 25, 3:05 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -138
Projection4.4
Model win87.2%
No-vig edge+33.0%
Model-implied EV+50.4%
No-vig market54.2%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.9 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 4.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 4.4 is 2.9 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 87.2% vs 54.2% no-vig market probability creates a +33.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 87.2% model win, +33.0% no-vig edge, and +50.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 17.5
OVER 17.5 -114
Projection41.5
Model win69.4%
No-vig edge+19.4%
Model-implied EV+30.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
24.0 above line
Market 17.5
PDR 41.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 41.5 is 24.0 above the 17.5 line.
Model win probability 69.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +19.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 69.4% model win, +19.4% no-vig edge, and +30.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos
Thu, Oct 15, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -125
Projection4.2
Model win83.9%
No-vig edge+32.0%
Model-implied EV+51.1%
No-vig market51.9%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.7 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 4.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 4.2 is 2.7 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 83.9% vs 51.9% no-vig market probability creates a +32.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 83.9% model win, +32.0% no-vig edge, and +51.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 16.5
OVER 16.5 -114
Projection52.8
Model win85.6%
No-vig edge+35.6%
Model-implied EV+60.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
36.3 above line
Market 16.5
PDR 52.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 52.8 is 36.3 above the 16.5 line.
Model win probability 85.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +35.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 85.6% model win, +35.6% no-vig edge, and +60.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers
Sun, Oct 11, 3:05 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -114
Projection3.7
Model win76.8%
No-vig edge+26.8%
Model-implied EV+44.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.2 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.7 is 2.2 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 76.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +26.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 76.8% model win, +26.8% no-vig edge, and +44.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 17.5
OVER 17.5 -114
Projection49.4
Model win80.2%
No-vig edge+30.2%
Model-implied EV+50.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
31.9 above line
Market 17.5
PDR 49.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 49.4 is 31.9 above the 17.5 line.
Model win probability 80.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +30.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 80.2% model win, +30.2% no-vig edge, and +50.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 67.8% | +19.7% | +31.8% | LOSS · 1 reception | Game |
| Week 8 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos | Receiving yards | OVER 14.5 | 68.5% | +18.5% | +29.2% | LOSS · 3 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 7 | Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 87.2% | +33.0% | +50.4% | LOSS · 0 receptions | Game |
| Week 7 | Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals | Receiving yards | OVER 17.5 | 69.4% | +19.4% | +30.2% | LOSS · 0 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 6 | Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 83.9% | +32.0% | +51.1% | LOSS · 1 reception | Game |
| Week 6 | Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos | Receiving yards | OVER 16.5 | 85.6% | +35.6% | +60.7% | LOSS · 2 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 76.8% | +26.8% | +44.1% | WIN · 2 receptions | Game |
| Week 5 | Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers | Receiving yards | OVER 17.5 | 80.2% | +30.2% | +50.5% | LOSS · 16 receiving yards | Game |