Published Record
3-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Pat Bryant NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Pat Bryant. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
2
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 4
Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers
Sun, Oct 4, 3:25 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 2.5
OVER 2.5 +118
Projection4.5
Model win73.6%
No-vig edge+30.8%
Model-implied EV+60.4%
No-vig market42.8%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.0 above line
Market 2.5
PDR 4.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 4.5 is 2.0 above the 2.5 line.
Model win probability 73.6% vs 42.8% no-vig market probability creates a +30.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.6% model win, +30.8% no-vig edge, and +60.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 20.5
OVER 20.5 -114
Projection58.6
Model win87.2%
No-vig edge+37.2%
Model-implied EV+63.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
38.1 above line
Market 20.5
PDR 58.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 58.6 is 38.1 above the 20.5 line.
Model win probability 87.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +37.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 87.2% model win, +37.2% no-vig edge, and +63.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 | Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers | Receptions | OVER 2.5 | 73.6% | +30.8% | +60.4% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers | Receiving yards | OVER 20.5 | 87.2% | +37.2% | +63.8% | WIN · 47 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs | Receiving yards | OVER 23.5 | 57.8% | +7.8% | +8.5% | WIN · 42 receiving yards | Game |