Published Record
1-5-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Tee Higgins NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Tee Higgins. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
16.7%
Published Plays
6
Modeled Lines Stored
8
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 5.5
Projection 4.6Cleared line 33%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · UNDER 70.5
Projection 63.9Cleared line 17%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -172
Projection4.6
Model win77.5%
No-vig edge+18.4%
Model-implied EV+22.5%
No-vig market59.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.9 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 4.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.6 is 0.9 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 77.5% vs 59.0% no-vig market probability creates a +18.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 77.5% model win, +18.4% no-vig edge, and +22.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 70.5
UNDER 70.5 -113
Projection63.9
Model win73.0%
No-vig edge+23.0%
Model-implied EV+37.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
6.6 below line
Market 70.5
PDR 63.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 63.9 is 6.6 below the 70.5 line.
Model win probability 73.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +23.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.0% model win, +23.0% no-vig edge, and +37.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
Sun, Oct 25, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 5.5
Model side: UNDER -188
Projection5.3
Model win67.5%
No-vig edge+6.5%
Model-implied EV+3.4%
No-vig market61.0%
Samples2154
Model-implied EV did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 65.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection75.8
Model win48.1%
No-vig edge-1.9%
Model-implied EV-9.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -140
Projection4.2
Model win68.0%
No-vig edge+13.4%
Model-implied EV+16.5%
No-vig market54.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.3 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.2 is 0.3 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 68.0% vs 54.6% no-vig market probability creates a +13.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.0% model win, +13.4% no-vig edge, and +16.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 60.5
UNDER 60.5 -114
Projection58.8
Model win68.5%
No-vig edge+18.5%
Model-implied EV+28.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.7 below line
Market 60.5
PDR 58.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 58.8 is 1.7 below the 60.5 line.
Model win probability 68.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +18.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.5% model win, +18.5% no-vig edge, and +28.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -140
Projection4.5
Model win64.4%
No-vig edge+9.8%
Model-implied EV+10.4%
No-vig market54.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.0 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.5 is 0.0 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 64.4% vs 54.6% no-vig market probability creates a +9.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 64.4% model win, +9.8% no-vig edge, and +10.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 53.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection66.6
Model win52.2%
No-vig edge+2.2%
Model-implied EV-2.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 77.5% | +18.4% | +22.5% | LOSS · 10 receptions | Game |
| Week 8 | Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals | Receiving yards | UNDER 70.5 | 73.0% | +23.0% | +37.6% | LOSS · 155 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 68.0% | +13.4% | +16.5% | LOSS · 11 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals | Receiving yards | UNDER 60.5 | 68.5% | +18.5% | +28.6% | LOSS · 157 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 64.4% | +9.8% | +10.4% | LOSS · 6 receptions | Game |
| Week 1 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 64.6% | +19.2% | +33.1% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |