Published Record
0-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Dylan Sampson NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Dylan Sampson. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
0.0%
Published Plays
1
Modeled Lines Stored
3
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 11.5
Projection 29.1Cleared line 0%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 2.5
Projection 3.2Cleared line 100%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 16.5
Projection 25.2Cleared line 100%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 11.5
OVER 11.5 -113
Projection29.1
Model win59.0%
No-vig edge+9.0%
Model-implied EV+11.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
17.6 above line
Market 11.5
PDR 29.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 29.1 is 17.6 above the 11.5 line.
Model win probability 59.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +9.0% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 59.0% model win, +9.0% no-vig edge, and +11.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -102
Projection3.2
Model win48.2%
No-vig edge+1.0%
Model-implied EV-4.6%
No-vig market47.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 16.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection25.2
Model win45.3%
No-vig edge-4.7%
Model-implied EV-14.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Rushing yards | OVER 11.5 | 59.0% | +9.0% | +11.3% | LOSS · 7 rushing yards | Game |