Published Record
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PLAYER PROFILE
Zach Charbonnet NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Zach Charbonnet. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
-
Published Plays
1
Modeled Lines Stored
3
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 32.5
Projection 70.3Cleared line -
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 1.5
Projection 2.3Cleared line -
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 7.5
Projection 18.2Cleared line -
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
Mon, Nov 2, 6:15 PM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 32.5
OVER 32.5 -114
Projection70.3
Model win85.2%
No-vig edge+35.2%
Model-implied EV+59.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
37.8 above line
Market 32.5
PDR 70.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 70.3 is 37.8 above the 32.5 line.
Model win probability 85.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +35.2% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 85.2% model win, +35.2% no-vig edge, and +59.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER +134
Projection2.3
Model win50.0%
No-vig edge+10.1%
Model-implied EV+17.0%
No-vig market39.9%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 7.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection18.2
Model win48.8%
No-vig edge-1.2%
Model-implied EV-8.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks | Rushing yards | OVER 32.5 | 85.2% | +35.2% | +59.9% | Pending | Game |