Published Record
3-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Saquon Barkley NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Saquon Barkley. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
75.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
4
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 52.5
Projection 85.4Cleared line 40%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
Sun, Nov 1, 6:20 PM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 52.5
OVER 52.5 -113
Projection85.4
Model win79.1%
No-vig edge+29.1%
Model-implied EV+49.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
32.9 above line
Market 52.5
PDR 85.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 85.4 is 32.9 above the 52.5 line.
Model win probability 79.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +29.1% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 79.1% model win, +29.1% no-vig edge, and +49.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 78.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection90.6
Model win51.8%
No-vig edge+1.8%
Model-implied EV-2.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears
Mon, Sep 28, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 72.5
OVER 72.5 -113
Projection91.1
Model win60.7%
No-vig edge+10.7%
Model-implied EV+14.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
18.6 above line
Market 72.5
PDR 91.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 91.1 is 18.6 above the 72.5 line.
Model win probability 60.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +10.7% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 60.7% model win, +10.7% no-vig edge, and +14.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tennessee Titans
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 79.5
UNDER 79.5 -114
Projection77.6
Model win64.9%
No-vig edge+14.9%
Model-implied EV+21.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.9 below line
Market 79.5
PDR 77.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 77.6 is 1.9 below the 79.5 line.
Model win probability 64.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +14.9% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 64.9% model win, +14.9% no-vig edge, and +21.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders | Rushing yards | OVER 52.5 | 79.1% | +29.1% | +49.2% | LOSS · 30 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears | Rushing yards | OVER 72.5 | 60.7% | +10.7% | +14.4% | WIN · 82 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 2 | Philadelphia Eagles @ Tennessee Titans | Rushing yards | UNDER 79.5 | 64.9% | +14.9% | +21.9% | WIN · 9 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles | Rushing yards | OVER 75.5 | 58.3% | +8.3% | +9.4% | WIN · 83 rushing yards | Game |