Published Record
4-5-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Chris Olave NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Chris Olave. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
44.4%
Published Plays
9
Modeled Lines Stored
12
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 7
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Oct 25, 8:30 AM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 5.5
Model side: OVER -154
Projection6.1
Model win46.6%
No-vig edge-10.1%
Model-implied EV-23.2%
No-vig market56.7%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 75.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection88.9
Model win52.6%
No-vig edge+2.6%
Model-implied EV-1.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 6
New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants
Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 6.5
UNDER 6.5 -114
Projection6.2
Model win67.9%
No-vig edge+17.9%
Model-implied EV+27.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.3 below line
Market 6.5
PDR 6.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 6.2 is 0.3 below the 6.5 line.
Model win probability 67.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +17.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 67.9% model win, +17.9% no-vig edge, and +27.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 80.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection82.5
Model win36.2%
No-vig edge-13.8%
Model-implied EV-32.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 6.5
UNDER 6.5 -106
Projection5.9
Model win73.4%
No-vig edge+25.0%
Model-implied EV+42.6%
No-vig market48.4%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.6 below line
Market 6.5
PDR 5.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 5.9 is 0.6 below the 6.5 line.
Model win probability 73.4% vs 48.4% no-vig market probability creates a +25.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.4% model win, +25.0% no-vig edge, and +42.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 81.5
UNDER 81.5 -114
Projection71.7
Model win75.2%
No-vig edge+25.2%
Model-implied EV+41.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
9.8 below line
Market 81.5
PDR 71.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 71.7 is 9.8 below the 81.5 line.
Model win probability 75.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +25.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.2% model win, +25.2% no-vig edge, and +41.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Mon, Oct 5, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 7.5
UNDER 7.5 -166
Projection5.7
Model win85.4%
No-vig edge+27.1%
Model-implied EV+36.9%
No-vig market58.3%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.8 below line
Market 7.5
PDR 5.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 5.7 is 1.8 below the 7.5 line.
Model win probability 85.4% vs 58.3% no-vig market probability creates a +27.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 85.4% model win, +27.1% no-vig edge, and +36.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 85.5
UNDER 85.5 -114
Projection78.4
Model win73.2%
No-vig edge+23.2%
Model-implied EV+37.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
7.1 below line
Market 85.5
PDR 78.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 78.4 is 7.1 below the 85.5 line.
Model win probability 73.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +23.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.2% model win, +23.2% no-vig edge, and +37.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Sep 27, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 6.5
UNDER 6.5 -148
Projection6.3
Model win66.3%
No-vig edge+10.5%
Model-implied EV+11.2%
No-vig market55.9%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.2 below line
Market 6.5
PDR 6.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 6.3 is 0.2 below the 6.5 line.
Model win probability 66.3% vs 55.9% no-vig market probability creates a +10.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.3% model win, +10.5% no-vig edge, and +11.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 79.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection84.5
Model win39.9%
No-vig edge-10.1%
Model-implied EV-25.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 5.5
Model side: OVER -118
Projection6.7
Model win56.3%
No-vig edge+5.7%
Model-implied EV+4.0%
No-vig market50.6%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 69.5
OVER 69.5 -114
Projection95.0
Model win72.0%
No-vig edge+22.0%
Model-implied EV+35.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
25.5 above line
Market 69.5
PDR 95.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 95.0 is 25.5 above the 69.5 line.
Model win probability 72.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +22.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.0% model win, +22.0% no-vig edge, and +35.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 67.9% | +17.9% | +27.5% | WIN · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 5 | Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 73.4% | +25.0% | +42.6% | WIN · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 5 | Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints | Receiving yards | UNDER 81.5 | 75.2% | +25.2% | +41.2% | WIN · 46 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints | Receptions | UNDER 7.5 | 85.4% | +27.1% | +36.9% | LOSS · 8 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints | Receiving yards | UNDER 85.5 | 73.2% | +23.2% | +37.4% | LOSS · 116 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 66.3% | +10.5% | +11.2% | LOSS · 9 receptions | Game |
| Week 2 | New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens | Receiving yards | OVER 69.5 | 72.0% | +22.0% | +35.1% | WIN · 86 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 73.4% | +20.6% | +29.9% | LOSS · 10 receptions | Game |
| Week 1 | New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions | Receiving yards | UNDER 76.5 | 67.6% | +17.6% | +27.0% | LOSS · 182 receiving yards | Game |