Published Record
1-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Bucky Irving NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Bucky Irving. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
33.3%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · UNDER 70.5
Projection 63.4Cleared line 43%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
Like one of these props? Turn the take into a challenge with friends on Buffet Bets.
Challenge a friend →
Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 70.5
UNDER 70.5 -113
Projection63.4
Model win70.7%
No-vig edge+20.7%
Model-implied EV+33.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
7.1 below line
Market 70.5
PDR 63.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 63.4 is 7.1 below the 70.5 line.
Model win probability 70.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +20.7% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 70.7% model win, +20.7% no-vig edge, and +33.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
Sun, Oct 25, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 68.5
UNDER 68.5 -114
Projection66.5
Model win64.9%
No-vig edge+14.9%
Model-implied EV+21.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.0 below line
Market 68.5
PDR 66.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 66.5 is 2.0 below the 68.5 line.
Model win probability 64.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +14.9% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 64.9% model win, +14.9% no-vig edge, and +21.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Thu, Oct 8, 7:15 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 51.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection68.0
Model win57.0%
No-vig edge+7.0%
Model-implied EV+7.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 60.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection75.0
Model win54.8%
No-vig edge+4.8%
Model-implied EV+2.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Sep 27, 3:05 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 57.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection57.7
Model win37.3%
No-vig edge-12.7%
Model-implied EV-30.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 58.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection68.2
Model win47.9%
No-vig edge-2.1%
Model-implied EV-10.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Rushing yards | UNDER 70.5 | 70.7% | +20.7% | +33.3% | LOSS · 170 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 7 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers | Rushing yards | UNDER 68.5 | 64.9% | +14.9% | +21.9% | LOSS · 106 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals | Rushing yards | UNDER 58.5 | 66.8% | +16.8% | +25.5% | WIN · 45 rushing yards | Game |