Published Record
5-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Tyler Higbee NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Tyler Higbee. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
83.3%
Published Plays
6
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 3.5
Projection 2.8Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · UNDER 36.5
Projection 32.1Cleared line 67%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun, Nov 1, 2:05 PM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 3.5
UNDER 3.5 -108
Projection2.8
Model win75.1%
No-vig edge+26.5%
Model-implied EV+44.7%
No-vig market48.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.7 below line
Market 3.5
PDR 2.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 2.8 is 0.7 below the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 75.1% vs 48.6% no-vig market probability creates a +26.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.1% model win, +26.5% no-vig edge, and +44.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 36.5
UNDER 36.5 -113
Projection32.1
Model win70.7%
No-vig edge+20.7%
Model-implied EV+33.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
4.4 below line
Market 36.5
PDR 32.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 32.1 is 4.4 below the 36.5 line.
Model win probability 70.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +20.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 70.7% model win, +20.7% no-vig edge, and +33.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun, Oct 25, 3:25 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 3.5
UNDER 3.5 +112
Projection3.0
Model win72.2%
No-vig edge+28.0%
Model-implied EV+53.0%
No-vig market44.1%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.5 below line
Market 3.5
PDR 3.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 3.0 is 0.5 below the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 72.2% vs 44.1% no-vig market probability creates a +28.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.2% model win, +28.0% no-vig edge, and +53.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 37.5
UNDER 37.5 -114
Projection32.7
Model win71.1%
No-vig edge+21.1%
Model-implied EV+33.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
4.8 below line
Market 37.5
PDR 32.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 32.7 is 4.8 below the 37.5 line.
Model win probability 71.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +21.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 71.1% model win, +21.1% no-vig edge, and +33.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun, Oct 18, 3:05 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -166
Projection3.3
Model win50.0%
No-vig edge-8.3%
Model-implied EV-19.9%
No-vig market58.3%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 30.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection43.6
Model win52.1%
No-vig edge+2.1%
Model-implied EV-2.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | UNDER 3.5 | 75.1% | +26.5% | +44.7% | WIN · 1 reception | Game |
| Week 8 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams | Receiving yards | UNDER 36.5 | 70.7% | +20.7% | +33.3% | WIN · 14 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 7 | Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | UNDER 3.5 | 72.2% | +28.0% | +53.0% | WIN · 2 receptions | Game |
| Week 7 | Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving yards | UNDER 37.5 | 71.1% | +21.1% | +33.5% | WIN · 14 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 64.2% | +14.2% | +20.5% | WIN · 2 receptions | Game |
| Week 1 | San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams | Receiving yards | OVER 13.5 | 71.9% | +21.9% | +34.9% | LOSS · 12 receiving yards | Game |