Published Record
1-3-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Brock Bowers NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Brock Bowers. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
25.0%
Published Plays
6
Modeled Lines Stored
4
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 5.5
Projection 5.0Cleared line 0%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · UNDER 68.5
Projection 51.7Cleared line 0%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 +116
Projection5.0
Model win71.6%
No-vig edge+28.3%
Model-implied EV+54.7%
No-vig market43.3%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.5 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 5.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 5.0 is 0.5 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 71.6% vs 43.3% no-vig market probability creates a +28.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 71.6% model win, +28.3% no-vig edge, and +54.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 68.5
UNDER 68.5 -113
Projection51.7
Model win80.7%
No-vig edge+30.7%
Model-implied EV+52.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
16.8 below line
Market 68.5
PDR 51.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 51.7 is 16.8 below the 68.5 line.
Model win probability 80.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +30.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 80.7% model win, +30.7% no-vig edge, and +52.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun, Oct 25, 3:25 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 6.5
UNDER 6.5 -154
Projection5.0
Model win82.9%
No-vig edge+26.2%
Model-implied EV+36.7%
No-vig market56.7%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.5 below line
Market 6.5
PDR 5.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 5.0 is 1.5 below the 6.5 line.
Model win probability 82.9% vs 56.7% no-vig market probability creates a +26.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 82.9% model win, +26.2% no-vig edge, and +36.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 70.5
UNDER 70.5 -114
Projection46.7
Model win85.8%
No-vig edge+35.8%
Model-implied EV+61.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
23.8 below line
Market 70.5
PDR 46.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 46.7 is 23.8 below the 70.5 line.
Model win probability 85.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +35.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 85.8% model win, +35.8% no-vig edge, and +61.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 71.6% | +28.3% | +54.7% | LOSS · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 8 | Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets | Receiving yards | UNDER 68.5 | 80.7% | +30.7% | +52.2% | LOSS · 92 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 7 | Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 82.9% | +26.2% | +36.7% | WIN · 6 receptions | Game |
| Week 7 | Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving yards | UNDER 70.5 | 85.8% | +35.8% | +61.1% | LOSS · 73 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 76.2% | +30.0% | +53.9% | VOID | Game |
| Week 1 | Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving yards | UNDER 62.5 | 82.1% | +32.1% | +54.2% | VOID | Game |