Published Record
1-3-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Ladd McConkey NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Ladd McConkey. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
25.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 3.5
Projection 3.8Cleared line 60%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 47.5
Projection 50.5Cleared line 60%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
Like one of these props? Turn the take into a challenge with friends on Buffet Bets.
Challenge a friend →
Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun, Nov 1, 2:05 PM CST
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -160
Projection3.8
Model win41.8%
No-vig edge-15.7%
Model-implied EV-32.0%
No-vig market57.5%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 47.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection50.5
Model win37.3%
No-vig edge-12.7%
Model-implied EV-29.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks
Sun, Oct 4, 3:25 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -166
Projection3.9
Model win43.4%
No-vig edge-14.9%
Model-implied EV-30.4%
No-vig market58.3%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 45.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection53.4
Model win44.2%
No-vig edge-5.8%
Model-implied EV-16.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -140
Projection3.4
Model win78.8%
No-vig edge+24.2%
Model-implied EV+35.1%
No-vig market54.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.1 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 3.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 3.4 is 1.1 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 78.8% vs 54.6% no-vig market probability creates a +24.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 78.8% model win, +24.2% no-vig edge, and +35.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 54.5
UNDER 54.5 -114
Projection36.9
Model win81.5%
No-vig edge+31.5%
Model-implied EV+53.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
17.6 below line
Market 54.5
PDR 36.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 36.9 is 17.6 below the 54.5 line.
Model win probability 81.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +31.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 81.5% model win, +31.5% no-vig edge, and +53.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 78.8% | +24.2% | +35.1% | WIN · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 3 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills | Receiving yards | UNDER 54.5 | 81.5% | +31.5% | +53.0% | LOSS · 66 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 73.0% | +20.2% | +29.1% | LOSS · 5 receptions | Game |
| Week 1 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers | Receiving yards | UNDER 50.5 | 75.7% | +25.7% | +42.1% | LOSS · 82 receiving yards | Game |