Published Record
2-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Rico Dowdle NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Rico Dowdle. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
2
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 31.5
Projection 58.0Cleared line 100%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 2.5
Projection 2.6Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 14.5
Projection 14.6Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 31.5
OVER 31.5 -113
Projection58.0
Model win71.4%
No-vig edge+21.4%
Model-implied EV+34.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
26.5 above line
Market 31.5
PDR 58.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 58.0 is 26.5 above the 31.5 line.
Model win probability 71.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +21.4% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 71.4% model win, +21.4% no-vig edge, and +34.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection2.6
Model win37.2%
No-vig edge-12.8%
Model-implied EV-30.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 14.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection14.6
Model win33.3%
No-vig edge-16.7%
Model-implied EV-37.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 7
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Oct 25, 8:30 AM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 31.5
OVER 31.5 -114
Projection50.1
Model win60.7%
No-vig edge+10.7%
Model-implied EV+13.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
18.6 above line
Market 31.5
PDR 50.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 50.1 is 18.6 above the 31.5 line.
Model win probability 60.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +10.7% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 60.7% model win, +10.7% no-vig edge, and +13.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -158
Projection2.6
Model win55.1%
No-vig edge-2.1%
Model-implied EV-10.1%
No-vig market57.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 9.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection17.0
Model win43.5%
No-vig edge-6.5%
Model-implied EV-18.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.