Published Record
4-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Jahan Dotson NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Jahan Dotson. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
12
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 2.5
Projection 2.4Cleared line 88%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 25.5
Projection 33.2Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: UNDER -180
Projection2.4
Model win64.9%
No-vig edge+4.8%
Model-implied EV+1.0%
No-vig market60.1%
Samples2154
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 25.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection33.2
Model win44.1%
No-vig edge-5.9%
Model-implied EV-17.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 7
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Oct 25, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -205
Projection3.1
Model win64.0%
No-vig edge+1.1%
Model-implied EV-4.8%
No-vig market62.9%
Samples2154
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 29.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection42.8
Model win52.3%
No-vig edge+2.3%
Model-implied EV-1.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 6
Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -162
Projection3.3
Model win67.8%
No-vig edge+9.9%
Model-implied EV+9.6%
No-vig market57.9%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.8 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.3 is 1.8 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 67.8% vs 57.9% no-vig market probability creates a +9.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 67.8% model win, +9.9% no-vig edge, and +9.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 23.5
OVER 23.5 -114
Projection42.5
Model win61.6%
No-vig edge+11.6%
Model-implied EV+15.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
19.0 above line
Market 23.5
PDR 42.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 42.5 is 19.0 above the 23.5 line.
Model win probability 61.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +11.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 61.6% model win, +11.6% no-vig edge, and +15.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Oct 11, 7:20 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -162
Projection3.0
Model win62.7%
No-vig edge+4.9%
Model-implied EV+1.4%
No-vig market57.9%
Samples2154
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 19.5
OVER 19.5 -114
Projection41.7
Model win66.3%
No-vig edge+16.3%
Model-implied EV+24.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
22.2 above line
Market 19.5
PDR 41.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 41.7 is 22.2 above the 19.5 line.
Model win probability 66.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +16.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.3% model win, +16.3% no-vig edge, and +24.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Mon, Oct 5, 7:15 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -148
Projection2.4
Model win51.0%
No-vig edge-4.8%
Model-implied EV-14.5%
No-vig market55.9%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 19.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection29.4
Model win47.5%
No-vig edge-2.5%
Model-implied EV-10.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers
Thu, Sep 24, 7:15 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -162
Projection2.8
Model win59.2%
No-vig edge+1.3%
Model-implied EV-4.3%
No-vig market57.9%
Samples2154
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 19.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection34.2
Model win54.9%
No-vig edge+4.9%
Model-implied EV+3.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 67.8% | +9.9% | +9.6% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |
| Week 6 | Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons | Receiving yards | OVER 23.5 | 61.6% | +11.6% | +15.6% | WIN · 87 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons | Receiving yards | OVER 19.5 | 66.3% | +16.3% | +24.4% | WIN · 54 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Receiving yards | OVER 18.5 | 61.1% | +11.1% | +14.8% | WIN · 19 receiving yards | Game |