Published Record
3-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Chris Rodriguez Jr. NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Chris Rodriguez Jr.. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
75.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
3
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 31.5
Projection 68.4Cleared line 67%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
Like one of these props? Turn the take into a challenge with friends on Buffet Bets.
Challenge a friend →
Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 31.5
OVER 31.5 -113
Projection68.4
Model win83.9%
No-vig edge+33.9%
Model-implied EV+58.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
36.9 above line
Market 31.5
PDR 68.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 68.4 is 36.9 above the 31.5 line.
Model win probability 83.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +33.9% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 83.9% model win, +33.9% no-vig edge, and +58.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Oct 18, 8:30 AM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 18.5
OVER 18.5 -114
Projection57.4
Model win86.3%
No-vig edge+36.3%
Model-implied EV+62.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
38.9 above line
Market 18.5
PDR 57.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 57.4 is 38.9 above the 18.5 line.
Model win probability 86.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +36.3% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 86.3% model win, +36.3% no-vig edge, and +62.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 20.5
OVER 20.5 -114
Projection65.2
Model win90.8%
No-vig edge+40.8%
Model-implied EV+70.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
44.7 above line
Market 20.5
PDR 65.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 65.2 is 44.7 above the 20.5 line.
Model win probability 90.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +40.8% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 90.8% model win, +40.8% no-vig edge, and +70.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing yards | OVER 31.5 | 83.9% | +33.9% | +58.2% | WIN · 41 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 6 | Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing yards | OVER 18.5 | 86.3% | +36.3% | +62.0% | WIN · 55 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 3 | New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing yards | OVER 20.5 | 90.8% | +40.8% | +70.5% | WIN · 37 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Rushing yards | OVER 33.5 | 77.6% | +27.6% | +45.7% | LOSS · 23 rushing yards | Game |