Published Record
1-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Woody Marks NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Woody Marks. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
33.3%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
4
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 6
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Oct 18, 8:30 AM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 47.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection51.9
Model win42.5%
No-vig edge-7.5%
Model-implied EV-20.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 24.5
OVER 24.5 -114
Projection53.1
Model win74.2%
No-vig edge+24.2%
Model-implied EV+39.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
28.6 above line
Market 24.5
PDR 53.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 53.1 is 28.6 above the 24.5 line.
Model win probability 74.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +24.2% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 74.2% model win, +24.2% no-vig edge, and +39.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 33.5
OVER 33.5 -114
Projection66.0
Model win78.9%
No-vig edge+28.9%
Model-implied EV+48.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
32.5 above line
Market 33.5
PDR 66.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 66.0 is 32.5 above the 33.5 line.
Model win probability 78.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +28.9% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 78.9% model win, +28.9% no-vig edge, and +48.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 27.5
OVER 27.5 -114
Projection62.0
Model win81.2%
No-vig edge+31.2%
Model-implied EV+52.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
34.5 above line
Market 27.5
PDR 62.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 62.0 is 34.5 above the 27.5 line.
Model win probability 81.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +31.2% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 81.2% model win, +31.2% no-vig edge, and +52.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 | Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans | Rushing yards | OVER 24.5 | 74.2% | +24.2% | +39.4% | WIN · 62 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans | Rushing yards | OVER 33.5 | 78.9% | +28.9% | +48.1% | LOSS · 22 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts | Rushing yards | OVER 27.5 | 81.2% | +31.2% | +52.3% | LOSS · 15 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans | Rushing yards | OVER 30.5 | 62.9% | +12.9% | +18.1% | VOID | Game |