Published Record
5-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Rashee Rice NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Rashee Rice. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
7
Modeled Lines Stored
8
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 4.5
Projection 6.1Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 49.5
Projection 67.2Cleared line 75%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Sun, Nov 1, 2:25 PM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
OVER 4.5 +104
Projection6.1
Model win65.3%
No-vig edge+19.5%
Model-implied EV+33.3%
No-vig market45.8%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.6 above line
Market 4.5
PDR 6.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 6.1 is 1.6 above the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 65.3% vs 45.8% no-vig market probability creates a +19.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 65.3% model win, +19.5% no-vig edge, and +33.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 49.5
OVER 49.5 -113
Projection67.2
Model win59.6%
No-vig edge+9.6%
Model-implied EV+12.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
17.7 above line
Market 49.5
PDR 67.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 67.2 is 17.7 above the 49.5 line.
Model win probability 59.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +9.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 59.6% model win, +9.6% no-vig edge, and +12.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun, Oct 4, 3:25 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
OVER 4.5 -130
Projection6.3
Model win69.7%
No-vig edge+16.9%
Model-implied EV+23.4%
No-vig market52.8%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.8 above line
Market 4.5
PDR 6.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 6.3 is 1.8 above the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 69.7% vs 52.8% no-vig market probability creates a +16.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 69.7% model win, +16.9% no-vig edge, and +23.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 54.5
OVER 54.5 -114
Projection71.3
Model win58.2%
No-vig edge+8.2%
Model-implied EV+9.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
16.8 above line
Market 54.5
PDR 71.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 71.3 is 16.8 above the 54.5 line.
Model win probability 58.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +8.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 58.2% model win, +8.2% no-vig edge, and +9.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
OVER 4.5 +118
Projection6.3
Model win68.3%
No-vig edge+25.5%
Model-implied EV+48.9%
No-vig market42.8%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.8 above line
Market 4.5
PDR 6.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 6.3 is 1.8 above the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 68.3% vs 42.8% no-vig market probability creates a +25.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.3% model win, +25.5% no-vig edge, and +48.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 48.5
OVER 48.5 -114
Projection72.6
Model win69.4%
No-vig edge+19.4%
Model-implied EV+30.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
24.1 above line
Market 48.5
PDR 72.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 72.6 is 24.1 above the 48.5 line.
Model win probability 69.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +19.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 69.4% model win, +19.4% no-vig edge, and +30.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs
Sun, Sep 20, 7:20 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 5.5
Model side: OVER +120
Projection6.3
Model win49.6%
No-vig edge+7.1%
Model-implied EV+9.1%
No-vig market42.5%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 54.5
OVER 54.5 -114
Projection73.9
Model win61.9%
No-vig edge+11.9%
Model-implied EV+16.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
19.4 above line
Market 54.5
PDR 73.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 73.9 is 19.4 above the 54.5 line.
Model win probability 61.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +11.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 61.9% model win, +11.9% no-vig edge, and +16.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos | Receptions | OVER 4.5 | 65.3% | +19.5% | +33.3% | WIN · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 8 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos | Receiving yards | OVER 49.5 | 59.6% | +9.6% | +12.4% | WIN · 53 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | OVER 4.5 | 69.7% | +16.9% | +23.4% | VOID | Game |
| Week 4 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving yards | OVER 54.5 | 58.2% | +8.2% | +9.3% | VOID | Game |
| Week 3 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins | Receptions | OVER 4.5 | 68.3% | +25.5% | +48.9% | WIN · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 3 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins | Receiving yards | OVER 48.5 | 69.4% | +19.4% | +30.3% | WIN · 88 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 2 | Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs | Receiving yards | OVER 54.5 | 61.9% | +11.9% | +16.3% | WIN · 83 receiving yards | Game |