Published Record
0-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Puka Nacua NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Puka Nacua. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
0.0%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 7.5
Projection 7.0Cleared line 25%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 91.5
Projection 107.3Cleared line 25%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun, Nov 1, 2:05 PM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 7.5
UNDER 7.5 +104
Projection7.0
Model win71.5%
No-vig edge+25.7%
Model-implied EV+45.9%
No-vig market45.8%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.5 below line
Market 7.5
PDR 7.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 7.0 is 0.5 below the 7.5 line.
Model win probability 71.5% vs 45.8% no-vig market probability creates a +25.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 71.5% model win, +25.7% no-vig edge, and +45.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 91.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection107.3
Model win57.1%
No-vig edge+7.1%
Model-implied EV+7.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 7
Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun, Oct 25, 3:25 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 7.5
Model side: OVER -122
Projection7.7
Model win39.8%
No-vig edge-11.6%
Model-implied EV-27.5%
No-vig market51.4%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 96.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection110.6
Model win54.1%
No-vig edge+4.1%
Model-implied EV+1.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
Mon, Sep 21, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 6.5
Model side: OVER -130
Projection7.6
Model win54.3%
No-vig edge+1.5%
Model-implied EV-3.9%
No-vig market52.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 85.5
OVER 85.5 -114
Projection108.0
Model win66.6%
No-vig edge+16.6%
Model-implied EV+25.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
22.5 above line
Market 85.5
PDR 108.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 108.0 is 22.5 above the 85.5 line.
Model win probability 66.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +16.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.6% model win, +16.6% no-vig edge, and +25.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | UNDER 7.5 | 71.5% | +25.7% | +45.9% | LOSS · 11 receptions | Game |
| Week 2 | New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams | Receiving yards | OVER 85.5 | 66.6% | +16.6% | +25.1% | VOID | Game |
| Week 1 | San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams | Receiving yards | OVER 90.5 | 75.1% | +25.1% | +40.9% | LOSS · 74 receiving yards | Game |